If something planned is realized, Russia will even think against us nothing

We have already entered the phase when barriers that separate Ukraine's defense forces from the European community/NATO have been falling in the past ten days have been published a number of noticeable texts/have been interviewed for Russia's invasion of Ukraine and events before it .

Important news (US $ 3 billion is the largest package of US assistance, rumors about the formation of a separate American mission headed by a general, information about the NASAMS production contract for two years), which makes sense to collect in one picture. First. I decided for a while not to evaluate the various events of last winter and autumn. With the exception of something completely flashy and directly affecting decision -making today. We are critically dependent on partners.

I am ready to read as much as unjust or inaccurate texts, if it helps to save, and better - increase the amount of assistance. The rest will have importance after victory. Other priorities are now. Second.

If you choose the most important thing that happened/sounded at the turn of the six months of the Great War, I would have given it to the opinion that the Minister of Defense Alexei Reznikov outlined in his article on the UP: "In fact, it is about removing the latest barriers when the Ukrainian army is no longer available To be perceived as something separate from the forces of Europe.

It is necessary for success that Europe is understood: Ukraine is a shield in the East that needs to be strengthened. " If unfolded. Now the Western world provides assistance to the Ukrainian army, which is not part of the whole. Our Armed Forces of Ukraine is something clearly closer to Europe than the conditional Afghan army, but still external. The help is huge. But the lion's share of bonds can be painless for the event.

However, we have already entered the phase when barriers that separate the Armed Forces of Ukraine from the European Community/NATO fall are falling one by one. The number of our warriors in Britain and other countries is calculated by thousands. The range of weapons we have already developed. The topic of repair, maintenance, production, that is, medium- and long-term tasks. At the site of unilateral processes, the "donor recipient" increases the number of bilateral exchange processes.

Density and level of interaction are such that all sorts of restrictions begin to be perceived as optional obstacles, misunderstandings. About as a border between Ukraine and Poland. It is transparent in military plan, the Poles really help. I am not ready to estimate how much the border is needed socially and economic, but in the defense field it is quite conditional. If you compare very roughly, we move to a state in which Sweden/Finland and NATO were there.

These were separate but very close and compatible substances that rapidly transformed into one. Any comparison limits, but the situation is about the same. It remains a little until it can be clearly explained why Ukraine (from the point of view of the military sphere) is still somewhere in the threshold, not in the common house. A very clear and measurable criterion for evaluating what is happening is the provision of aviation/air defense/AB.

Aviation is a technically very difficult and expensive pleasure that requires the whole "ecosystem" of conditions. Aliens are not allowed here. In Ukraine, the best battle pilots now have the experience of real air battles with an equal opponent in the face of a powerful enemy air defense system. We also have the best anti -aircraft missile troops. The numbers speak for themselves. As soon as we are armed, Europe will receive 1000-1500 km of safe space in the sky.

We do not produce our combat aircraft. That is, it will definitely be foreign platforms. The most logical way to build our combat aircraft on foreign platforms is to model it from the beginning as part of a pan -European defense system, where we have our own piece of front and our tasks. If we all have the same - standards, technique, enemy - there is no logic to do it separately. However, a number of political, legal and other strategic decisions will be required.

Because it is funding, production, training, infrastructure. For years ahead. If we encourage partners (and we try, and many already support us) to eliminate valid restrictions, there will be what is called a good term "overall defensive space". The Ukrainian army will be inscribed in the general system, it will have a qualitatively different range of support mechanisms. That is, it is not just to give us expensive planes and two bags of missiles to them, which we can shoot Russia. We can still.

But we promised and fired. The fact is that after that we will no longer be possible to crush us and say that we are some strangers. In fact, you have to go with us to win. But this is a measure of involvement that is scared. Because rhetoric "to victory" is one thing, and practice requires specific actions. Russia scares it - first of all.

Therefore, the Russians throw all their efforts to slow down the processes of our de facto integration that are gaining a course (I will remind that it is the integration in NATO de facto, Minister Reznikov says at the time of his appointment). In the media, there were already data on "crabs" contracts, on PZH2000 (up to 36 months). Now here on the NASAMS SC.

At the level of sensations that gradually crystallizes, the period of two to three years is visible, after which Russia can even think against us. Provided: if what is planned is implemented. Therefore, the topical tasks can be divided into two parts: 1. Getting assistance to provide a fracture on the battlefield as soon as possible and save our people's lives as possible. 2. Building a grid of processes that will make Ukraine an integral part of the European defense space.

You need to understand the connection. As soon as political decisions are made to enter into long -term processes - and short -term decisions will be easier to move. That is, this work only looks detached from hot events on the front. In fact, on the contrary. Not far off-the 5th Ramstein. Traditionally, something will be declared, but many will not declare. Of great importance will be what routine processes will start to roll. And these processes depend largely on the internal political situation.

I have already listed: the US, Britain, Bulgaria, Montenegro, Italy, Germany, the Czech Republic and other countries are already in a state of elections, prepared for them or passing through a period of decline in the power with which we interact with (which means the probability of non -planned elections). Changing power is not always bad, but always some inhibition, sagging in time. On September 1, the next time of transfer of history with numbers/documents in Kosovo ends.