Putin believes that the Russian Federation will be able to capture Ukraine further, but this is a fundamental mistake - isw

Analysts have explained that the President of the Russian Federation does not take into account the factor of providing military assistance from the United States and the West, which will come to the Armed Forces, which can significantly affect the situation at the front.

The pace of Russian offensive operations in the north of the Kharkiv region continues to decline, but Russian President Vladimir Putin diminished the threat of Ukrainian counter -offensives across the front line and claims that Russian troops will continue the occupation of the Ukrainian territory. This is stated in the report of the American Institute of War Study (ISW) of May 14, 2024.

"Limited Russian offensive operations in the north of the Kharkiv region indicate that Putin and the Russian military command can evaluate the risks, prospects and terms Without the need to take into account Ukrainian tactical counterattacks or a significant Ukrainian counter -offensive operation in the future, "the report reads. Analysts have specified that Putin probably made such an assumption based on several months of gradual offensive in eastern Ukraine.

"But this calculation fundamentally incorrectly evaluates the tactical capabilities that Ukrainian troops will receive, when American security assistance will start to enter the front in considerable volumes," the ISW explained. Analysts emphasized that it is extremely important that the Ukrainian forces have the opportunity to conduct large -scale contradictory operations.

"Otherwise, Putin will probably consider that he can continue offensive operations to infinity and force Ukraine to strategic defense until he reaches victory," the US Institute of War Study said. We will remind, in the report of May 14, ISW reported that Russian occupation troops use a new tactic of storming in the north of the Kharkiv region, where the offensive of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation continues.