The Armed Forces of the Russian Federation were dug everywhere: how to continue fighting for the total defense of the Russians - analysts

Despite the relatively slow promotion of the Ukrainian forces and in the absence of advantage in terms of aviation, the breakthrough of the Armed Forces in the south of Ukraine is still possible. The prospects of further liberation of the Ukrainian territory are referred to in Defense Express dated October 16. The authors of the publication write that in general the promotion of Ukrainian troops a day in the direction of the robot was within 90 meters.

This is much slower when comparing other offensive campaigns of the Armed Forces, and also if drawing parallels with other historical examples. But given the fact that Russian warlords do not show high skill in command, Ukrainian fighters can still break through the defense of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation in the southern direction.

The observers drew attention to the conclusions of the Analysts of the CSIS Strategic and International Studies, which published material with a detailed analysis of the offensive operation of the Armed Forces on the basis of specific historical examples. "It is possible that the rates of the offensive of Ukraine can accelerate if the defensive positions of Russia near the current front line or if the Russian armed forces undergo operational or strategic collapse.

Such changes in the situation are not unprecedented in the modern war," the article reads. An example mentions the breakthrough of the Allies during the Norman operation "Cobra" at the end of July 1944, during which the first army of General Omar Bradley after 17 days of fierce battles, having lost more than 40,000 fighters, advanced 11 km . It is known that the operation ended in success, and the Wehrmacht has lost its position in Northwestern France.

"Although Ukraine does not have the offensive advantages that the Allies owned in Normandy, the Russian military also did not show the operational competence of the German Wehrmacht in the Second World War," analysts said. For their part, Ukrainian experts emphasized that the Russian troops lost about 120,000 soldiers killed and 300,000 wounded during the CSIS during the summer campaign, and the Ukrainian army was able to maintain the initiative at the Action Theater.

Meanwhile, it is worth considering the fact that the fighters of the defense forces have to storm the well -fortified positions of the enemy. And here, evaluating successes or their absence, it is necessary to take into account the fundamental laws of war. First of all, the Prussian commander Karl von Clausewitz wrote about the balance of defense and attack in the nineteenth century and emphasized that it is much more profitable to defend itself in terms of effectiveness than attack.

But Ukrainian fighters still managed to break through the first of the three lines of Russian fortifications in some sections of the Southern Front, so it is possible that the breakthrough of the Second Line Armed Forces can accelerate the pace of promotion. According to CSIS analysts, the Armed Forces command made the right strategic step, choosing a priority southern direction with plans to go to Melitopol and Berdyansk at the same time, as well as starting assault actions in the Bakhmut area.

And even if it seems at first glance as a irrational dispersion of forces, the occupiers fastened the defense, with the calculation that the Ukrainian command would throw all the forces to assault these positions. It is also emphasized that the complexity of the breakthrough lies not so much in the Surovikin line, but in the presence of a large number of shock helicopters, a large number of artillery trunks and the ability to literally "create new mine fields on the go" and dig trenches.

At the same time, the defense forces felt a shortage in engineering and other military equipment. Thus, the help of Western partners must continue to succeed. But here Ukrainian experts drew attention to the interesting thesis of CSIS authors who write about further funding for Ukraine. Based on current trends, further assistance to Ukraine can cost about $ 14.

5 billion a year, but this is despite the fact that the estimated volume of direct military support from the United States has already exceeded $ 43 billion over the full -scale war. That is, the material contains an indirect hint of a significant reduction in military assistance to Ukraine. Recall that the Ukrainian forces in parallel with the counter -offensive on Earth carry out another, potentially important campaign - destroy Russian logistics.