"Ticks" around Ugledar: What is threatened

This allegedly led to a sharp deterioration of the situation for the Defense Forces of Ukraine in the coal - there was even information about the threat of the surrounding grouping of Ukrainian troops in this area. In this regard, the focus has found out how the situation on this area of ​​the front is nowadays, what risks are related to the promotion of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation and how the Donbass defense will be affected by the loss of carbon.

Propagandists from the Russian Federation spread the assault staff of the positions of Ukrainian troops allegedly in the coal, in particular, it was about the seizure of the mine "South -Donbass №3". It was also argued that as a result of the offensive actions of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation recently, the carbon itself was in an operational environment, "the supply routes were cut, most of the positions around the city, important heights and roads occupied by Russian troops.

" Meanwhile, some Zials have repeatedly wrote that often the Russian command on the ground "runs in front of a steam locomotive" and reports to the leadership, without accumulating on the victorious relations, while the real situation on Earth is far from what I would like to hear in the Kremlin. Back in February last year, the invaders tried to storm the carbon in the forehead, using a large amount of living strength and equipment.

However, then the enemy did not have to sweetly, since the Russian warlords decided that to direct columns with tanks and other armored vehicles a narrow corridor bypassing minefields is quite safe. As a result, the enemy paid, having suffered very painful losses, which the Russian military spoke spoke of. First of all, let us turn to the statements of official Ukrainian sources about the situation under the coal.

The operational reports of the General Staff of the Armed Forces do not refer to a serious breakthrough of Russian troops in this area of ​​the front. For example, in the message of September 22, only "three battles in the area of ​​coal" was said. The Deepstate monitoring resource provided more information. On September 22, Telegram analysts posted a post with a reference to the map showing the probable directions of enemy strikes under the coledar.

According to cartographic data, Russian troops really try to take the positions of Ukrainian defenders "in the tick". One of the blows is the enemy from the part of the precursor, from which recently, as analysts reported, the 58th OMB "on the best bonds" has departed. On this line of fighting, the Russians crossed the Kashalach River and moved northeast in order to enter the rear of Ukrainian defense.

The promotion was also recorded by Nikolsky, as well as a little to the north near the settlement of Vodyane towards the Epiphany. As a result, the enemy of the right flank of the carbon group is covered, according to Deepstate. If you look at the dynamics of hostilities in this area, it turns out that the situation for Ukrainian fighters has become seriously deteriorating literally at the end of last week.

Although in early September, experts spoke about the threat of enemy flanking in the carbon direction, namely, in the area of ​​Prechistivka and Water. According to analysts, this happened because of the situation in the 72nd OMBR, which holds defense in the Donetsk region near the collet.

"The situation has worsened significantly in recent days, because the rejection of the 72 OMBR forced the management to introduce auxiliary reserves from the forces of TROs, which could not cope with the pressure of the enemy. The assault battalion was present in the lane, so it was forced to expand the strip of the battalion area of ​​defense," One of the probable reasons for the promotion of Russians.

In this regard, we pay attention to the statement of the operational command "North", which referred to the release of the commander of the unit Ivan Vinnik. There they explained this decision by the fact that the serviceman should go to promotion, as his combat experience and personal qualities can serve as other Ukrainian units.

It was also about the feat of the soldiers of the 72nd Brigade, who were able to repel under the carbon in 2023 "One of the greatest offensive during the Russo-Ukrainian War". However, this decision was criticized by MP Marian Bezugla. In her Facebook, she posted a post in which the accusations against the Commander -in -Chief of the Armed Forces Alexander Sirsky fell.

According to her, the head "eliminated" Vinnik in order to "reduce the combat capability of the unit", so the loss of the city is a matter of time. In addition, the situation is complicated by the fact that there are no fortifications at the settlement.

"There are no defensive borders according to the coal, but created by the Syrian chaos in the 72nd brigade due to the removal of the Kombrig at the peak of the enemy's offensive and the unknown replenishment of the priority unit makes the loss of coal only a matter of time," she wrote. The Colonel of the Armed Forces and the military expert Vladislav Seleznev in an interview with Radio NV spoke about the enemy's activity in three main directions, including in the Kalli.

In his opinion, the army of the Russian Federation has attracted a huge resource and is currently on the verge of its capabilities, since it has been in an offensive for almost one year. "It seems to me that the enemy is not in vain intensified. It is very important for him to control as many territories as possible. For some reason he is sure that after the next round of elections in the United States will take place the same negotiating track. territories, "Seleznyov emphasized.

For his part, the watchdog "Information Resistance" Alexander Kovalenko gave an assessment of a tactical setting in the coal direction. First of all, he noted that the situation for the Ukrainian forces has deteriorated due to the loss of control over the O-0532 highway, which connects Coal and Konstantinovka. According to the expert, the enemy in the water area expands his presence in order to create the conditions for the offensive in three directions.

"The Russians now have the goal of generating a coal from the north to start an offensive from three directions - from southern, eastern and northern. That is, what they are being implemented in Pokrovsky and Kurakhiv directions," Kovalenko said, adding that the opponent was actively active Uses armored vehicles. Disappointing forecasts are also heard from the Western observers.

Thus, Financial Times, citing Ukrainian servicemen, writes that the coal can be captured by the Russians in the next weeks, with the Kursk operation did not positively affect the situation for defense forces on the Eastern Front. "Kursk was a successful idea, he showed that the Russian Federation was not as strong as many people believed. But now we pay for it our own territory," - quoted Western journalists of one of the Ukrainian commanders.

Konstantin Mashovets, a military observer, coordinator of the Information Resistance group, said that Ukrainians have "morally and psychologically" prepared for the Armed Forces from Selidovo, Toretsk and Village. "This is not necessary to happen. And I would like to be wrong. But from the information I have, this is a very likely scenario of developments in the near future," the expert writes.

The situation in the coal direction looks disappointing, although Alexander Kovalenko does not share "apocalyptic" sentiment. In general, there is a difficult task in the city, as problems with logistics due to the loss of control over one of the routes that were supplied, do not add optimism. Carefully assume that if the situation for Ukrainian defenders in the carbon is deteriorating, then the military leadership will have to make a difficult decision.

On the one hand, by establishing the supply of the Ukrainian group and sending reserves, the defense of the city can be continued. Although the autumn off -road, so the summer logistics ways of supply are significantly complicated. On the other hand, a breakthrough of the Ukrainian troops on one of the front areas is theoretically possible, which can "confuse the cards" of the enemy or even undermine its offensive potential.