A kind of casus belli, though what is the casus belli in the 9th month of open full-scale invasion?! For what? For what purpose? The fact is that Russian propaganda is now a serious dilemma. The invasion of Ukraine, called some of its own, failed in all positions and is a losing and shameful war for the Russians. On the other hand, they do not intend to stop it, grinding thousands and tens of thousands of their soldiers in the meat grinder of the Ukrainian slaughterhouse.
But narratives about "denacification" and "demilitarization" have not been justified this meat grinder for a long time. To justify the war in the Russian information space, propaganda will generate fakes about the threat of invasion. After all, from this narrative about the threat of invasion of the Ukrainian troops, it all began, although in the wave of rapid offensive, he was forgotten about him, he gave way to uncompromising "denacification" and "demilitarization".
Even the Kremlin puppet Alexander Lukashenko tried to show everyone: "Where did the offensive on Belarus came from!" Now, receiving one failure in Ukraine, unable to restrain the Armed Forces, in Russia will start generating a fake about the threat of invasion of the Ukrainian army in Belgorod, Kursk, Voronezh, Rostov regions with new power.
Such intimidation should be accompanied by some stagnations, massive rocket strokes in some settlement of Belgorod region, the village of Kursk region, and somewhere in general will be shot in the photo and video some DRG in Ukrainian pixel. In the way, the Russians, by the way, are enough for Ukrainian camouflage to fully complete a department similar to the Armed Forces, and actions that mimic the Armed Forces in the Russian Federation.
In fact, it is one in one repetition that we can have long been observed in the so-called "PMR", namely constant control of the population through supporting a high level of moral and psychological tension in society. In Transnistria, local propaganda regularly every 2-3 months reports that the so-called "PMR" is preparing an attack by the Moldova Army. The attack of the army of Moldova and Romania is being prepared. The attack of Romania, Moldova and NATO is being prepared.
The attack of Ukraine is being prepared. The attack of Ukraine and Moldova . . . Moldova, Romania and Ukraine is being prepared. NATO and Ukraine . . . and so infinitely. I call it the "Transnistrian" scenario of population control. Due to the constant tension among the population, local so -called authorities manage to distract him from the urgent social, economic, infrastructure, political and other problems.
Therefore, as Russia will lose the war in Ukraine, it will run away from the Luhansk and Donetsk regions, evacuates from the Crimea, the very processing of the Russian population throughout the Russian Federation Narrative about some invasion of Ukraine will only grow. The Russians in the coming years, and possibly decades will be confidently kept in these moral and psychological hedgehogs. No protests - and Ukraine will attack. No criticism of power - and Ukraine will attack. And so on.
And now it is only the initial stage, designed to justify the invasion and explain that tens of thousands of killed Russians and tens of thousands of wounded and crippled, against the background of economic degradation and isolation of the country is the price of Russia's security. In the future, it will be a classic population control scenario, which has been used in the appendicitis of the Russian world - Transnistria for decades. Now it will be used in Russia itself.
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