By Natali Moss
The main reason for this is the impossibility of quickly returning industry to pre-war specialization against the background of zero probability of lifting sanctions. Under these conditions, peace for Putin will mean a progressive economic crisis against the background of the need to occupy 1 million brainiacs who were taught to kill and rape. For the Russian Federation, a bad war is better than a not-so-good peace.
I think that now the only chance to force the Russian Federation to choose peace and not war is to make the war very bad for the Russian Federation. And when the choice is between a bad peace and a very bad war, Muscovites will go to negotiations. These are the assumptions. So that you can feel the quality of such assumptions, I will reveal to you an example of their evidence base.
Last week, the State Duma of the Russian Federation adopted a law on the transfer of currency settlements through the Treasury to 2028. According to the previously adopted law, from January 1, 2026, residents — participants in the budget process, as well as federal budget and autonomous institutions with personal accounts in the Federal Treasury of the Russian Federation — had to conduct currency transactions through Treasury accounts.
Of course, this innovation was made to strengthen control over the movement of budget funds. However, the federal government urgently appealed to the State Duma of the Russian Federation and asked to postpone this deadline to January 1, 2028. They explained their request by the fact that the government cannot predict when the USA and other countries will cancel sanctions against the Russian Federation.
Therefore, just in case, the date of the innovation was moved not only to 2026, but also to 2027. That is, the government of the Russian Federation does not predict the easing of the sanctions regime against the Russian Federation not only in 2026, but also in 2027. If you don't have enough proof, here's another one. The Ministry of Finance of the Russian Federation has officially confirmed that it will legalize payments in cryptocurrencies. Now everything is falling into place.
First, the Central Bank legalizes digital financial assets and the authorities turn a blind eye to crypto payments, and now the process is being fiscalized. Simply, the practice of crypto payments without appropriate accounting for the purpose of evading sanctions meant an increase in the level of tax evasion and banal theft of working capital. After the fiscalization of cryptocurrency payments, there will be no turning back.
Issuers of crypts will be launched into the system of monetary circulation within the country and at the Foreign Exchange. It is unlikely that the authorities of the Russian Federation would develop such an unprofitable project for the state, without understanding that war and sanctions pressure are for a long time. However, perhaps in their forecasts they do not take into account our UAVs, "Flamingos" and American "Tomahawks".
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