The expert named the probable four scenarios of Ukraine's victory over the Russian Federation

Political technologist Oleg Pasternak believes that there is no clear idea of ​​what Ukraine's victory over Russia may look like: the limits of such a victory are blurred, and a clear plan of specific tasks is not visible. Political technologist Oleg Pasternak named four possible victory scenarios for Ukraine. He told about them in the material of focus "to outline the limits: that power and society will consider a victory over Russia. " "There are many concepts of victory.

The most radical is the collapse of the Russian Federation, the civil war and the transfer of hostilities to the territory of the Russian Federation," he notes. "But this scenario is most unreal, given the development of hostilities. " The second scenario is the complete restoration of the internationally recognized borders of Ukraine, including Crimea, Donbass and south of Ukraine.

And the payment of reparations by the Russian Federation, confiscation of property, the international court, the tribunal over military criminals and the leadership of the Russian Federation. "It was this idea that was basic for Ukraine, and most sociologists emphasized that it is the main one for both the authorities and the Ukrainians," he says. The third is the exit to the borders on the collision line by February 24, 2022. "This scenario was also acceptable, but for a certain part of society.

The power in 2022, at the beginning of 2023, rejected it because it understood that it was not about victory, but about a delayed war. Now this scenario looks like what is possible Consider, "Pasternak continues. The fourth scenario is the freezing of the conflict. "It can also be theoretically considered a victory, because we stop, although temporarily Russia, holding the capital and most of the free Ukraine. We have advanced on European integration.

But one serious question arises - whether joining the EU and NATO, entry into the Western geopolitical space will be justified by the great casualties of the Ukrainian people, - the political technologist is convinced. - It is about killed, wounded, people with disabilities, about the destruction objects, etc. Is it an acceptable price that satisfies a certain part of society? " He adds that there are currently no answers to these questions.