Kursk Putin trap: Why did the Kremlin finally give up peace talks

During a recent meeting with Russian military, security forces, representatives of federal and regional authorities on the situation in the Kursk region, Putin also commented on the negotiation track. In particular, he emphasized that he considers the purpose of the Russian border attack of Ukraine's desire to improve its public positions.

"It becomes obvious why the Kiev regime has refused our proposals to return to the peaceful settlement plan, as well as to the proposals of interested and neutral intermediaries. In view of everything, the enemy with the help of his Western owners fulfills their will. The hands of Ukrainians are at war with us. The enemy seeks improvement her negotiation positions in the future, ”Putin said. According to him, after the attack on the Russian border with Kiev "there is nothing more to talk about.

" Meanwhile, the American Institute for War Study (ISW) states that Putin is trying to show himself competent on the situation in the Kursk region and at the same time shift the responsibility for the invasion of the Armed Forces into other authorities, as well as the military.

Putin, the ISW analysts, gave several grades to Ukrainian operations in the Kursk region, "which undermine the ancient Kremlin's information operation, which falsely represented Ukraine as such that does not want to participate in legitimate, bona fide negotiations.

" In turn, the experts with whom the focus communicated was convinced that military operation in the Kursk region in the context of future negotiations with the Russian Federation has already given a situational effect for Kiev with a plus sign.

In particular, political scientist Oleg Lisny in a conversation with focus states: "Some of our Western partners, as well as Russian allies, have some extent prompted to negotiate, so Ukraine had to react somehow while maintaining the initiative in the formula of peace and the peace formula. Putin also shows his true face.

According to the expert, in the negotiation context, Kursk operation demonstrated "very interesting" circumstances, namely that the Russian Federation after her - operation - the beginning not just did not talk about the transition of some red lines, but did not start using a traditional trump card in the form of nuclear . "An element of a nuclear component can be considered that the Russians were set on fire there.

According to the political scientist, the currently developing situation can really significantly improve Ukraine's public positions, but in the future. As for the situational effect, the operation in the Kursk region, the expert is convinced, already affects the attitude of the event to the position of Ukraine. "To the events in the Kursk region, the whole negotiation case turned around the fact that Ukraine has a" peace "or a truce to pay its territories.

Now the Russian territory appeared on the scales. It is good that this "black swan" appeared. Putin, commenting on the events around the operation in the Kursk region, tries to present Ukraine in every way guilty of the ephemeral breakdown of negotiations, says political scientist Oleg Posternak.

In a conversation with focus, the expert notes: "The question is whether, raising the conditions for withdrawal of the Armed Forces from the territory of Zaporizhzhya, Kherson, Luhansk and Donetsk regions for the start of negotiations, Putin really wanted these negotiations? To create the illusion that Russia is a peaceful country, it is always ready to go to peace.

The political scientist believes that now the Russian Federation will in any case ignore the next peace of peace, but Ukraine will only play in the hand: "Ignoring the Russian Federation of Peace-2 Summit-2 will knock out the argument of the west, as well as some countries of the global south about the need to involve the Russian side. That is Moscow. It will demonstrate itself as an unfavorable country that is interested in continuing the war and ignores, in particular, the position of China.

Predicting how much can be delayed in time the issue of peaceful negotiations between Kiev and Moscow, Oleg Posternak noted: "The probability of negotiations, which is being actively spoken of since the end battle. The fact that some correlation of negotiations of Ukraine and the Russian Federation with the finale of the election process in the United States really exists, political scientist Petro Oleshchuk agrees.

At the same time, the expert believes that this factor should not be overestimated. "Ukraine has shown and continues to show that it plays a key role. All of them support both hands. Putin's statement about the inability to speak with the Ukrainian authorities at all, the expert regards as an awareness that negotiations under his conditions are impossible. "The Russians have repeatedly referred to the so -called Chinese peace plan, the essence of which is to stop fire on the entire front line.

Now it is obvious that Putin's plan cannot arrange, because ceasefires on the entire front line means that at least some part of Kursk region has To remain under the control of Ukraine, and this, from the point of view of the "great conqueror", "uniforms" and "joiner" of the lands, it seems, to put it mildly, shameful, " - says Petro Oleshchuk.

Emphasizing that the script with the cessation of fire on the entire front line of Putin did not suit, the expert stated that the Kremlin is currently pausing in conversations about negotiations at the time until the situation on the battlefield has undergone significant changes.