Putin is trying to quarrel Ukraine with the West to prevent the Armed Forces counter -offensive - isw

Volodymyr Putin states that Kiev does not want to start meetings and compromise for the end of the bloody war. Thus, he seeks to weaken the support of Western partners and get a ceasefire in the form of negotiations to give Russian troops time to restore strength and prepare for new military operations, depriving the Armed Forces of Initiative.

The experts of the Institute are convinced that the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation will not be able to rest, taking advantage of the lull, as negotiations on a long cease cessation require long training. At present, the tension between Ukraine and Russia is too tense so that the parties can agree on the silence, so Russians are unlikely to reach the desired lull.

"It is almost impossible to imagine that the ceasefire will be agreed, not to mention its implementation, for several months, which will deprive Russia of the opportunity to suspend Ukrainian winter counter -offenses and postpone them until spring," American researchers write. On December 9, at the Summit of the Eurasian Economic Union in Bishkek, the capital of Kyrgyzstan Vladimir Putin was very optimistic about possible negotiations with Ukraine.

He stated that the settlement process will be long, and Kiev, along with Western partners, will have to put up with the "realities on the ground". Probably, the President means that all the captured territories should remain under the control of Russia. According to the Institute of War Study, such rhetoric only delays peace negotiations, but it may be part of an information operation in order to cause discussions about ceasefire.

It is expected that Vladimir Putin will declare real conditions for negotiations in 2023, if the Russian army is able to capture most of the Ukrainian regions, allegedly annexed by Russia. We will remind that on September 30 Vladimir Putin announced the annexation of Lugansk, Donetsk, Kherson and Zaporizhzhya regions of Ukraine.