By Natali Moss
According to the expert, he earlier he suggested the completion of active fighting in the summer of 2025, but emphasizes that this forecast remains unlikely and is about 50%. "I made low probability forecasts. The probability of 50 percent. There was a paradigm that Trump could be angry with Putin and strengthen Ukraine's support. As we can see, this is not happening yet," Rustamzade said.
The analyst added that in general, the international arena has an unstable military-political situation, so the further development of events related to the settlement of Russian-Ukrainian conflict is difficult to predict. "There is a very difficult situation and it is difficult to predict something here, because it applies not only to war in Ukraine. In the world in general a difficult military-political situation-we have a crisis of global stability," the analyst emphasized.
Earlier, the expert noted that due to the new White House policy, it is time for chaos and uncertainty, which can take several months. In addition, after the last conference in Munich, the likelihood of Russian military aggression against one of NATO countries has increased. Thus, the analyst points to the crisis of global stability, referring to military-political tension and the probable increase in the number of regional armed conflicts.
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