Rocket confrontation of Russia and Ukraine: what to expect in the winter (diagram, infographic)

"Last year, Ukrainian air defense was just beginning to master the first samples of Western Iris-T and Nasams, which were handed us allies. About the main US Patriot Army, which the Armed Forces received only in March 2023, only dreamed and threatened the threat of a full blak. ",-writes the newspaper in his own analysis of rocket confrontation in the Russian-Ukrainian war.

For a more or less calm period, Ukraine has significantly increased the efficiency of intercepting air goals that Russia launches. However, the threat from the Russian invaders did not go anywhere. Moreover, the enemy tries to increase its production and improve not only the tactics of shelling, but also the weapons itself. Since February 24, 2022, Russia has released 3081 rocket with a total cost of $ 22. 8 billion.

According to the Ministry of Defense of Ukraine regarding reserves and production of Russian missiles as of January 2023, during the first months of a full-scale war of the Russian Federation produced an average of about 50-60 launchers for a month. According to the latest estimates of the Armed Forces General Staff, Russia has increased production in 2023 to 100 missiles per month.

In addition, the Russians have about 120 old Soviet missiles X-22 and hundreds of short-range missiles X-59, X-31, S-300 and others. Regarding shock drones ShahED-136/131, Russia has significantly increased their production. It also increased the number of massive blows of these UAVs in the territory of Ukraine. Only in September-October 2023, according to the Command of the Air Forces of Ukraine, the Russian Federation used 865 drones-Kamikadze for air strikes, which is 6 times more than in 2022.

According to military analysts, these "chessi" pose a significant threat. Despite the fact that about 80% of them are knocked down by Ukrainian air defense, drones are still reached for certain goals. Yes, in the last two months, 151 Shahaned was able to hit the grain infrastructure and civilian sites.

According to Forbes estimates, as of October 2023, Russia launched so many rockets across Ukraine that their cost is equal to almost half of the size of all US military assistance from Ukraine since February 24, 2022. However, despite the incredibly high cost of Russian rocket attacks-about 0. 5-1 billion a month, the invaders are unlikely to give up rocket terror. And this does not depend on whether such attacks will be significant military or even economic damage.

Therefore, the winter months, according to analysts, will be another test for the Ukrainian air defense system, energy and other social infrastructure and civilian population. Recently, the Air Force forces have made simply "hyperstlot as the quality and efficiency of work", writes Forbes. If in September 2022 the air defense of Ukraine knocked down about 20-30% of missiles, in April-July 2023-almost 80-90%.

However, Russian invaders refine the tactics of rocket strokes, attack combined and confused routes. "In addition to air defense, the Ukrainian Government's important priority was the creation of engineering protection of energy facilities. So how effective these measures will be, we can see this winter. But Ukraine has something to answer, the publication notes. "This year we will not only defend, but we will also answer," - emphasized President of Ukraine Volodymyr Zelenskyy.

He reported that the authorities are preparing for the enemy's strikes on energy infrastructure and reminded several factors under which Ukraine will stand. "First, it is the appearance of a whole line of drones-Kamikadze (from 200 to 500 km). And although they do not have a great destructive effect due to the low weight of the charge, but still capable of affecting open objects-oil depots, ammunition depots, ammunition, ammunition compositions air defense complexes, etc.

, ”the Forbes emphasized. Secondly, a number of missile weapons have been transferred to Ukraine. Storm Shadow and Scalp missiles came from Britain and France. For their use, the Soviet bombers Su-24 were converted. The latest upgrade of the Ukrainian missile arsenal is American cassette missiles M39 ATCMS with a range of 165 km.

Third, the Collaboration SCKB was also able to start the production of modified versions of the alder and Neptune missiles, which positively proved themselves in the first months of the Great War. In addition, the Ukrainian forces began to use modified C-200 missiles for lanes for land purposes. Recall that Focus wrote that Ukraine and the US are working on the development of a hybrid air defense system. Experts want to combine Western landsckets of the Earth-Borings with Soviet weapons.