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With the help of five analysts of HB, he modeled the future to understand how qu...

Will the war be finished before the winter? The three most realistic scenarios for developments at the front - an expert poll

With the help of five analysts of HB, he modeled the future to understand how quickly the Armed Forces will get the enemy out of the territory of the state and what is necessary for the success of Ukraine. The Ukrainian forces "started offensive in many directions of the south of the country" - such a message on August 29 was made by representatives of the southern group of troops of the Armed Forces.

This can mean the beginning of a long -awaited large offensive aimed at at least Kherson's liberation, and as a maximum of forcing the Dnieper and reaching the Admin of the occupied Crimea. Video of the day is a great offensive - for its positive result - it can completely break the course of war and plant the Kremlin regime at the negotiation table for termination of hostilities at favorable positions for Ukraine.

At the same time, Volodymyr Zelenskyy earlier told representatives of the Great Seven G7 that Ukraine needs to end the war until winter. The head of his office Andriy Yermak has repeatedly spoke about it: they say, the domestic economy will be so better. Is it real to do it? He spoke about it with five analysts: military experts and observers - Oleg Zhdanov, Yuri Karin and Konstantin Mashovets, former Defense Minister Andriy Zagorodniuk, as well as Economist Gleb Vyshlinsky.

With their help, the editorial staff created three scenarios for developments on the front and predicted when the war with the Russian Federation could end. Sensory: Scenario # 1: Many Weapons from the States, Exit to "February 24" and termination of hostilities by the end of 2022; The likelihood is 25% of US President Joe Biden in the first days of autumn launches a truly mass Land League, providing Ukraine with a lot that Volodymyr Zelenskyy asks for Ukraine.

Washington at least doubles the supply of weapons and equipment of the Armed Forces - about $ 3 billion a month. And already in the second half of September, the Ukrainian forces begin a powerful counter -offensive, having released the first south to the first frost - to the administrative border of Crimea, and then the East - to the line from which the invasion of the Russians began in February.