The mobilization and failures of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation in Ukraine worsen the situation for Putin - ISW

Analysts believe that the announcement of partial mobilization in the Russian Federation is a positive moment for Ukraine in the short term. This is due to the fact that the units of the Ukrainian Armed Forces are more likely to move in the course of a counter -offensive than an additional call to the ranks of the occupation troops can have a positive effect for Moscow.

Moreover, partial mobilization against the backdrop of the failures of the Armed Forces "deepens cracks" in the Russian information space and exacerbates the internal struggle between the Proputin nationalist forces. "Putin is obviously unable to find a balance between competing requirements of Russian nationalists, who since the beginning of mobilization are becoming more aggressive.

Isw has identified three basic fractions in the modern nationalist information space: Russian military bloggers and military, and former Russian or proxy Security officers who have significant authorities and their own strengths. Putin needs to enlist the support of all three of these factions, "the Institute for War Studying says in a new report.

Currently, according to analysts, the Kremlin's head is trying to balance three groups between representatives of three groups, giving them the opportunity to perform on federal channels, allowing them to continue offensive actions in the Donbass and increasing the conqueror appetites of veterans who have long demanded that mobilize mobilization inside the country.

According to ISW, the situation for Putin also aggravates the negative statements of his topsoratlers, including Chechnya Kadyrov, the head of Chechnya Kadyrov and the owner of Wagner PEC Yevgeny Prigogin. The Kremlin leader is interested in the further participation of "Kadyrovka" and mercenaries in hostilities in Ukraine, so it is not profitable for him to deprive them of their right to express his thoughts on the failure of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation on the advanced.