In the Russian Federation, the reserves of technology are depleted. Putin is desirable for a truce - The Economist

However, now the question is not whether Ukraine can continue the struggle, but how long the Russian Federation will be able to maintain the current rates of the offensive. About it reports The Economist. The key question for the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation is not the amount of living force. The Russian Federation is able to gain about 25 thousand fighters every month to support the number at the front at the level of 470 thousand fighters. The production of rockets is also growing.

But despite all this, talking about the transition of the Russian Federation to military rails, in fact, means that they are able to compensate for the loss of equipment only from the stock of Soviet times. Although they are still huge, they are not endless. Before the collapse of the USSR, the warehouses had as many armored vehicles as the other world has taken together, says Alexander Goltz, Analyst of the Stockholm Center for Eastern European Studies.

According to most intelligence, in the first two years of a full -scale war of the Russian Federation lost about 3000 tanks and 5,000 units of other equipment. The number of losses on the Oryx project, which is calculated on the basis of photos or video docas, Russian losses make up 3235 units, but the authors note that the real figure is "much higher".

When the then Minister of Defense Sergei Shoigu boasted in December 2023 that 1530 tanks were staged during the year, he did not say that almost 85% of them were the old T-72, T-62 and even T-55. Since the invasion of the front, about 175 T-90m tanks have been sent, and according to IISS estimates, the annual production of these machines could be closer to 90. However, it is about the modernization of the T-90A, the production of new machines is no more than 28 a year.

The main obstacles for the Russian Federation are components, including bearings. Chinese alternatives often do not meet quality standards, says Pavel Luzin, an expert from the Center for Analysis of European Policy. The biggest problem for the Russian Federation is tanks and BMP. Despite the fact that there are thousands of these cars in the warehouses, about 70% have not shifted from 3200 tanks since the beginning of the war.

Most of the T-72 stands in the open, and therefore can be in a very bad condition. As a result, Vladimir Putin's desire for a truce can grow. Technology deficiency can be felt by the end of the summer, says Michael Jerstad, an Iiss analyst. We will remind, the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation lost 300 units of equipment during the storming of Novomikhailivka. On July 16, the media wrote that Ukraine is preparing for peace talks with the Russian Federation on the cessation of battles.