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In vain, Israel hopes that his

Putin can force millions of iPhone to explode: what will be the "Pagers' attack" in Lebanon

In vain, Israel hopes that his "Pagerna" attack will force Hezbollah to abandon terrorist activity, says political scientist Mark Mark Olmond in the Daily Mail column. On the contrary, it can be the beginning of the Great War, a kind of pearl harbors of the 21st century. When Japan's Aviation Bomb Garbor bomb in 1941, their purpose was to destroy America aviation in the Pacific and prevent Uncle Sam from entering the Second World War. They achieved the opposite.

Aroused fury, the US community instantly supported the case of the Allies - and Japan was in the face of a new and powerful enemy. I am afraid that during yesterday's devastating attack on thousands of pagers, which are driven by terrorists "Hezbollai" all over Lebanon, we witnessed Pearl Harbora of the 21st century. The operation, of course, was a striking itself: at least nine people were killed and more than 3000 were injured, including the Ambassador of Iran to Lebanon.

However, its broader value will undoubtedly find feedback in the coming months and years. If Israel, as Imperial Japan, thought that this massive attack contributed to the refusal of Hezbolla fighters from entering a full -scale war with the Jewish state, I am afraid that it would be disappointed.

The Islamists are already planning their revenge-and last night, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyaga was reported to negotiate at the headquarters of his Ministry of Defense in Tel Aviv about how to respond to potential escalation. But how was Israel managed to turn it? There are several competitive theories.

One safety expert suggested that the Israelis could lay "Old-fashioned explosive mines" in thousands of pagers, who, as they claim, were delivered to the Hezbolla fighters only in the last days. Another theory, more convincing to me, is that pagers were previously loaded with a complex computer virus that caused them to overheat, causing Lithium batteries to light.

It is a known risk -related risk used in many electronic devices, which is one of the reasons why airlines refuse to allow passengers to carry laptops in registered luggage. But as if Israel did not perform the operation, paradoxical is that Hazbollah militants have only recently replaced mobile phones with pagers, believing that they are safer. It is known that mobile phones are equipped with GPS software, which allows you to track devices-and, therefore, their users-anywhere in the world.

Six weeks ago, Hamas's political leader Ismail Gania was caught in a guest house in the Iranian capital of Tehrani - and removed. Experts believe that his murder became possible only because his phone was tracked. The truth is that Israel succeeds in this type of war.

Decades of confrontation with hostile neighbors, whose number is much exceeding the number of their own citizens, led to the Middle Eastern democracy, which is in combat readiness, developed a terrifying set of complex military instruments, from nuclear missiles and tanks to cyber -weapons.

This is accompanied by the ruthlessness of the famous secret intelligence agency "Mossad" in tracking and destroying their enemies, starting with the organizers of the slaughterhouse at the Olympic Games in Munich. As we have seen, Mossad, after all, always gets his person - or people. But what next? If the messages are true and some of the hezbolla fighters are really failed due to a pager attack, it will be a serious obstacle to grouping operations.

Since the Hezbolla's military organization is destroyed, the Israelis can decide to invade part of South Lebanon to create a "buffer zone" that could protect the civilian population in northern Israel from rocket attacks. I have fears about such a "restrained" approach. Despite all the cruel ingenuity of the pager attack, the consequences for regional security can be terrible.

Instead, surgery with pagers will probably become a prelude to the new total Israeli-Linanian war-with gloomy consequences for peace around the world. The Hosbollah Allies, Iran and Syria, will inevitably be concerned about the fact that Israeli intelligence can do the same with them. But even those Arab countries that have diplomatic relations with Israel, such as Egypt and Jordan, now have to ask themselves how safe they are-and whether their communication networks are safe.

This will weaken Israel's ability to build friendly relations in the region. And for us, there may be consequences with you. Western democracy will already evaluate what this new form of war means for them - and how they will be able to copy Israel's methods. History teaches us that no new military equipment remains for a long time monopoly of its inventor.