By Natali Moss
The report states that the Russian Federation will continue asymmetric activity below the level that, according to its calculations, is a threshold of military conflict on a global scale. So, according to analysts, the Kremlin will increase its nuclear potential for strategic restraint. In addition, Moscow requires more nuclear missiles in case of potential direct conflict with NATO and the US. The Pentagon believes that Russia will remain "persistent opponent".
It is reported that Russia will also continue to use the situation in the world to promote its interests, as well as to influence American allies and their situation. The Kremlin will be able to maintain its levers of influence in the energy sector, since in 2023 it still remained the second in terms of the supplier of liquefied natural gas (PPG) to Europe. The report emphasizes that the Russian Federation strengthens economic ties with China, Iran and North Korea.
They also cooperate in the field of defense production. This can be a serious challenge for the event. It is also possible to increase the impact of the Russian Federation in Africa and in the Middle East. The intelligence noted that the report was made on the basis of data available at the time of January 22, 2024. Recall that ISW analysts have stated that the Russian industry will not be able to provide troops for a large offensive in 2024 in Ukraine.
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