Threat in the Kharkiv direction: what is capable of the grouping of the Russian Federation at the borders of Ukraine

The group, collected by Russia on the border with the Kharkiv region, looks solid and terrible. But Konstantin Mashovets's military observer proposes to analyze how capable of offensive. Today there will be a little about the Kharkiv direction. It is a situation with that part of a grouping of troops (UVs) of the enemy, which belongs to the so -called "grouping of the cover cover" and is called "Belgorod" (organizationally it is part of the UV "War").

This makes some sense because there have been some changes in the last month, due to the regrouping of part of the forces and means of the enemy of the "West" mainly from the composition of the 11th Army Corps (AK), including a number of units of its 18th. Motorized Division (MSD), it is in this direction. So, first, we identify some quantitative and, to some extent, the qualitative parameters of this Belgorod UV, expanded by the enemy in the Kharkiv direction, and then try to draw conclusions.

Belgorod, its command post (KP) is deployed in the area of ​​Borisovka. It consists of: in general, these are… parts and units of the enemy, deployed in Belgorod in Belgorod, are mostly part of the following units and associations of the Russian army: direct support of parts and units of Belgorod in the air.

In addition, in the interests of Belgorod UV can be involved in the Baltimore (Voronezh) a certain part of the forces and means of the 15th AA brigade (KA-52, Mi-28n, Mi-35M and Mi-8 helicopters) and 47 -To bombard aviation regiment (BAP) (Su-34 bombers), therefore, we can state several features regarding Belgorod and its operational capabilities: "theoretically" . . .

some significant in volume, scope and depth of the enemy's offensive on Kharkiv and Northern and North and The northwestern direction is possible. But from a practical point of view, it seems unlikely. Of course, the enemy command can organize some active (ie offensive) actions, but clearly limited levels (somewhere up to 2-3 battalions maximum). For example, try to capture several border villages again.