Does not matter Trump or Harris: Putin will continue the war with Ukraine - the media

Harris promised to continue President Joe Biden's policy, armed with Ukraine to protect against a two -year invasion of Russia. Trump, meanwhile, states that he can quickly put an end to the conflict through negotiations. In recent months, Russia has increased pressure on Ukraine, attracting more troops and artillery deliveries, and seeking gradual but important successes on the front line.

According to officials from South Korea, Ukraine and the USA, North Korea also sent thousands of soldiers who are currently training at landfills in the Primorsky Territory of Russia. Analysts believe that Donald Trump's peace plan will not lead to peace in the long run. His colleague, Jay Di Vance, recently outlined a plan for the termination of the war in Ukraine under the possible Trump administration with the creation of a "demilitarized zone" in Russia's occupied Ukrainian territories.

However, according to critics, reducing the assistance of Ukraine and, in fact, by passing the areas of the territory, the United States, the Kremlin's aggression is likely to be prescribed. "If Russia knows that its territorial revisionism in Ukraine can be acceptable Washington, it is difficult to imagine how Moscow will not see the same in another place or even further in Ukraine as it was after 2014.

Peace in Ukraine in favor of Russia is Not a peace, it's a truce, "said Rand Coproration Analytist Paul Kormari. Undering the unity of the West by criticism of NATO can have about the same effect. Kamala Harris, on the contrary, promised to continue the support of the United States of Ukraine, which cost $ 64. 1 billion in military assistance since the full -scale Russian invasion of 2022. But Baiden's administration has set a restriction on how Ukraine can use truckers.

Ukraine also states that US assistance often comes in parts. This is part of the US effort to ensure Ukraine's support balance in order not to provoke Russia and not to cause a great war. But this means that Putin probably believes that he can continue his war on exhaustion against Ukraine with Harris as president, as she probably will not provide enough military assistance to win him once and for all.

It is a war that Putin has put on Russia's economic future, emphasizing the importance of victory for the Russian leader. One of the key tools that Biden used to punish Russia is sanctions designed to harm its economy by limiting its ability to sell oil and gas at the international level. However, Russia has managed to open new export markets in large economies, including China and India, resulting in economic loss from sanctions more limited than projected by some experts.

Economist Alexander Mertens recently wrote that Russia is likely to suffer economic losses, regardless of whether it will continue the war or not, which means that Putin has no serious incentives to stop now. China also monitors the war in Ukraine, thinking about whether to start an invasion of the US Taiwan ally, while the Middle East is covered by a conflict that can develop into a much larger war.

And a major conflict in any of these regions can attract US resources and energy and distract from Ukraine. In general, Putin's mission is not only to capture Ukraine, but also to work in tandem with other authoritarian leaders to harm the US global power. "In the near future, Russia and China have adopted a joint confrontation strategy with the United States and their allies in Europe and Asia," said analyst Jonathan Ward from the Hadson Bi Institute of Hadson.

It is unlikely that Harris, or Donald Trump, will be able to force Putin to change the course in his desire for victory in Ukraine and his large -scale global ambitions. "He took personal responsibility for achieving this result and probably believes that it is worth almost any price.

Trying to make him surrender-a barren exercise that simply spends life and resources," Peter Schroeder wrote, former first deputy National Intelligence Officer on Russia and Eurasia in the National Intelligence Council for International Relations in September. The best course, Schroeder writes, for the US - play with Putin in his own game and survive him in his war for exhaustion, waiting for him to die or leave his post.