Elections to the Russian Federation: Putin will not mobilize, his troops will focus on defense - the media

As Professor of the School of Politics and Public Administration of George March Mark Katz told reporters, Putin wants to focus on keeping the captured territories. In any case, the lack of mobilization will weaken the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation. According to the expert, the Kremlin head hopes that Donald Trump will win the elections in the US, which will take place in the fall of 2024. It is expected that it will reduce or completely stop Ukraine's support.

"If this happens, Russia will be able to go on an offensive on a weakened Ukraine, which is likely to lead to success," Katz said. He noted that Putin is also likely to be disappointed in his expectations for US domestic policy. Associate Professor of the Department of History of Cornell University David Silby said winter would have a negative impact on the counter -offensive of the Armed Forces.

In his view, the delaying the large -scale wave of mobilization in Russia does not necessarily weaken the troops of the invaders. On the other hand, the great danger to Putin is that the Ukrainian forces will still be able to cut the land corridor to the Crimea at least partially. Recall that intelligence of the United Kingdom predicted the likelihood of mobilization in Russia before the presidential election.

Volodymyr Putin's election campaign, according to the UK Ministry of Defense, will be unofficially began in November 2023. It is reported that although elections in Russia are the object of intervention and control by the Kremlin, it is the only way of political legitimation for the current government. The UK Ministry of Defense believes that Putin's election campaign will be concentrated on Russia as a separate civilization that requires protection against "aggressive external enemies".