Why not in the winter: why Russia started rocket attacks on Ukraine in March

In turn, the head of the Kyiv City Military Administration (KMVA), Serhiy Popko noted that as a result of an enemy attack, a fall on a dwelling on a residential building in the Pechersk district was recorded. In addition, several objects were damaged in Solomian, Dniprovsky and Holosiivskyi districts of the capital. According to the mayor of Kiev Vitaliy Klitschko, as a result of the morning attack on March 25, ten residents of the capital were injured.

Last Friday, March 21, Russia made the first large -scale blow to Ukraine for more than a month, using longitudinal aviation. The specified incident has been 44 days since the previous air strike. The activation of the Russians in the sky on Sunday, March 24 was commented in his traditional address by the President. "Of course, our airboard needs significant strengthening.

We are working on all partners whose decisions can change the nature of this war and protect our cities and villages from terror," Volodymyr Zelenskyy emphasized. According to the existing owner of Bankova, almost 190 missiles of different types, about 140 Shahaneda and more than 700 managed airbombs were used "Russian terrorists" during the week.

Analyzing the restoration of air strikes in Ukraine with the use of far aviation, British intelligence has come to the conclusion that Russia will "almost probably" continue to strike on critical objects Government and population. Meanwhile, the experts with whom the focus communicated is convinced that the pressure is not only and not so much on Ukraine and ordinary Ukrainians as Western Allies of Official Kiev.

Political scientist and rocket-nuclear disarmament expert, Alexander Kochetkov, in conversation with focus, notes that the Russians were preparing for the current blows quite carefully.

In particular, answering the question of why rocket attacks were not activated in winter, as predicted, but in the spring - in fact at the finish of the heating season in Ukraine, the expert said the following: "Because they were preparing, and very carefully, looking for the most vulnerable to us The goals that affect the energy supply situation have analyzed where the smallest air defense is, how it can be bypassed, etc. ".

Meanwhile, according to Oleksandr Kochetkov, it is incorrect to talk about the missile reserves of Russians today, "because the Russian Federation does not stop production": "If immediately after the invasion, when sanctions went, they made 50 missiles of different types per month, now in the same period. 120-160 pieces are produced. They use about the same. That is, in Russia there are all opportunities for stockpillance while sanctions "work" as they "work".

At the same time, according to Alexander Kochetkov, in current missile attacks clearly The propaganda component is traced, "because as soon as they have re-elected their non-volatile leader, they immediately began to power in Ukraine. " "The enemy does not understand one: the more we will attack us, the less we will be ready to go for any negotiations. Moreover, we now have the opportunity and we use them effectively enough to attack them.

And the fact that we have already destroyed 10% of Russian production for the processing of petroleum products -a serious blow to their energy reserves and export capabilities of the Russian Federation. That is, the situation is symmetrical: they get their rocket attacks to us, and we are them. And this, in my opinion, will not push them or the negotiations, " - sums up Alexander Kochetkov.

At a slightly different angle he looks at the situation with the current rocket attacks of Russians political scientist Oleg Lisz The elements of pressure not only on Ukraine as such (so that the authorities under the pressure of tired and exhausted citizens go to the worst case for negotiations, in the best - for surrender), but also on our MIC and, of course, for allies.

Thus, Putin demonstrates that after his reassignment, he increases and is ready to raise the rates as much as possible, frightening not so much of us as the event, which in terms of the Kremlin should make some concessions Questions are how much the event will "lead" to the above steps of Russia, related to the activation of missile attacks on Ukraine. "Putin and his environment think that any way of escalation, if demonstrated in practice, will affect Ukraine's opinion And the event.

However, in my opinion, if we properly communicate with Western allies, we will be able to increase the level of distrust of Putin's actions. Moreover, on the contrary, we will now be able to pedal the important issue of air defense, they say, look, while you have some pauses, while you paint some red lines through which escalation can occur, we are constantly attacked.

That is, the situation, although it is very unpleasant that it is because of such events, but in the end it can be in favor of us, " - summarizes Oleg Lisny. Thus, it is obvious that by activating rocket attacks in Ukraine, the Kremlin kills several" rabbits . On the one hand, the Russian Federation causes various damage to objects of critical infrastructure, which, among other things, is also reflected in the capabilities To go to negotiations with the Kremlin.