Will Vovchansk be released in the fall? When the Russian Army leaves the Kharkiv region: forecasts

The saboteurs entered the border settlement of the Sotnitsky Cossack on July 4, Russian propaganda filed an event as a complete occupation of the village. The Ukrainian military reflected the increased mechanized attack of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation. In the area of ​​responsibility of OTU "Kharkiv" Russian invaders throw the main forces at Vovchansk and Lipka, said the spokesman of the "Kharkiv" Yuri Powkh. Did the military did not respond directly.

"We do not comment on the tactical actions of our troops in real time. When the action is completed, we will definitely inform you," he added. The head of the Kharkiv Regional Military Administration Oleg Synigubov stated that active fighting was ongoing in the Sotnitsky Cossack. It was possible to export 30 civilians, in the settlement there are two people, they also want to pick them up.

A number of Ukrainian military analysts do not consider the frequent success of Russian DRGs to the border villages. Sever troops have generally admitted serious failures in Kharkiv region, says Alexander Kovalenko, coordinator of the Information Resistance group. He compared the history with the Sotnitsky Cossack with the "victories" of Chechen fighters in Ryzhivka of Sumy region.

Then the "Kadyrivsky" DRG sought to hang a Russian flag in the village and to make video backgrounds for the sake of creating panic moods from locals. The offensive on the stick does not produce the expected result, although the village is bombing daily. The second month of the Russian Federation is ground in the deep area, without the prospect of breakthrough to the Lipts.

In Volchansk, the situation is also deplorable, but by the end of the summer of defense forces of Ukraine can displace the invaders from the city, if the Sever group will not be strengthened by several motorized rifle brigades. In case of increased occupation group, the Russians will be able to keep North Vovchansk at least mid -autumn, it makes predictions.

Oleksandr Musienko, Head of the Center for Military Legal Research, sees the tendency to improve the situation in the area of ​​Vovchansk and Lipts. Near the village of Tika to the east of the Volchansk attempt to attack the enemy was not successful. Much depends on ensuring the weapons of the Defense Forces of Ukraine, says focus analyst. The most important is the problem of effective retention of hostile forces and depriving them of their offensive potential.

Here, according to Musienko, it is worth talking about the creation of a demilitarized zone in the Belgorod region. The expert hopes to create wandering air defense systems - so you can clear the region from the raids of enemy aviation. "It is necessary to deprive Russian troops with the opportunity to assemble weapons and equipment, as well as forces to prepare for the restoration of attacks," - said the specialist.

In the presence of obvious problems in the Russian army with personnel and equipment, you will immediately have to remove the forces from the Kharkiv direction. It is necessary to keep the main front in Donetsk and Luhansk regions, says military expert Oleg Zhdanov. "There are no free reserves of living force and armored vehicles. In order to keep the offensive in the Armed Forces positions, it is necessary to remove the troops.

It is known that the regiment was removed from Lyman and Kupyansk directions, there are no full divisions there," - says the expert in a conversation with focus. . As for the opening of a new direction in the Sotnitsky Cossack, the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation are trying to gain a foothold and to force the Armed Forces to throw parts there to keep the bridgehead, he summed up.

We will remind, the 3rd assault brigade of the Armed Forces recently showed a video of the storming of the trenches of the army of Russia at the border of Kharkiv and Luhansk regions. According to preliminary data, the Russians could be rejected by 2 kilometers. It is known that the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation began to massively use powerful bombs Fab-500, which are launched from a distance of 80 kilometers from Kharkiv. Air anxiety in the regional center is heard by 4 pm.