Flee from the war: experts estimate how many people will lose Ukraine because of migration in 2025

However, in fact, the number of Ukrainian migrants going to other countries in search of stability and peaceful sky may be greater. As the executive director of the Center for Economic Strategy (CES) Gleb Vyshlinsky noted in a conversation with focus, according to 2025 such migrants can be more than 300 thousand. “The reasons for the departure in 2025 can be attributed to the serious increase in rocket-arable blows on large agglomerations.

Because the Russians from energy objects switched to objects of the defense industry, military facilities, which are often located in residential areas, ”says Gleb Vyshlinsky. As Oleksandr Fedortsov, a lawyer of international migration of the Prikhodko and partners, said in a comment to focus, the main reason for the migration of Ukrainians abroad today is the war in Ukraine. “Most citizens leave the occupied territories or from regions located near the war zones.

Also, one of the reasons for the departure is rocket firing and use of large quantities aggressor for the task of strikes in Ukraine. This is what creates a life threat and encourages families to travel abroad in search of temporary protection, ”says Alexander Fedortsov. He adds: globally affect the decline in the outflow of Ukrainians abroad, only its completion and creation of conditions for safe residence in Ukraine.

The lawyer, the managing partner of Evrikalaw JSC Andriy Shabelnikov noted: according to the data based on the NBU analytical data and information from international organizations (eg, IOM) and the State Statistics Service of Ukraine, the main migration processes outside Ukraine are the continuation of the departure Citizens are also going on in finding the best living and working conditions in EU countries and other developed countries.

According to the expert, it is difficult to stop the outflow of migrants, although he notes, there are ways to influence the scale of migration. “The outflow of citizens during the war is a complex phenomenon that depends on many factors. Although war is the main cause of migration, there are ways that can affect this process by reducing its scale. Improving a security situation is the most important factor.

Reducing the intensity of hostilities and strengthening the protection of civilians directly influence people's decisions in Ukraine. Economic incentives are also. Even during the war, the state can take measures that encourage citizens to remain. It can be creation of new jobs, support for small and medium -sized businesses (especially in relatively safe regions), accessible housing programs and compensation for damaged property.

The growth of wages and economic opportunities can be a significant counterweight for the attractiveness of employment abroad, ”Andrei Shabelnikov notes. He adds that new programs and social policy of the state need new programs. “The country can develop and implement programs aimed at supporting families with children, providing quality educational and medical services.

Although it is impossible to completely stop the outflow of citizens during the war, the state can mitigate its consequences and create conditions that will encourage Ukrainians to stay or return after its completion, ”the expert said.

Meanwhile, according to the President of the All -Ukrainian Association on International Employment of Vasyl Voskoboynik, it is not possible to wait for the creation of such improved conditions that they would motivate Ukrainians not to leave or return, because from 2014 to the beginning of large -scale attack of armed aggression from Russia, Ukraine could not register.

“And now during the war, when we have 29% of our economy destroyed that the country can change something for the better, start building social housing massively, create high -level workplaces, nor, it will not be true. Unfortunately, our country is not able to provide a high standard of living, to provide housing, to ensure the work of the population of Ukraine, and until the war is over, change something for the better is unlikely to succeed, ”Vasily Voskoboynik said.