Bad harvest, blackout, war. That affects the prices and whether products rise up in the fall

Autumn has brought new threats, including the weakening of the hryvnia, increased taxes and approaching possible new light disruptions. How it will affect manufacturers and whether prices will increase. Due to the summer heat and poor harvest, a rise in electricity, water for and business, consumer goods and services will continue to increase. Vegetables will add in cost, including the borsch set. According to the State Statistics Service of Ukraine, consumer prices in Ukraine in August 2024 was 0.

6% after falling to zero in July from +2. 2% in June. What affects inflation and whether Ukraine is enough for Ukraine, researched focus. According to the State Statistics Committee, in August in August, the prices of food and soft drinks increased by 0. 9%compared to July 2024. Eggs and vegetables went up the most (by 7. 1% and 5. 2%). 0. 7% -2.

4% increased prices for bread, sugar, pasta, grain processing products, sunflower oil, rice, meat and meat products, milk and dairy products, oil, soft drinks, fish and products Pisces. At the same time, 7. 4% of fruits decreased by 7. 4%. Consumer Price Index in January-August and 2024 (%). Data: the State Statistics Committee, the table in January-August 2024 on the price expectations in the fall and winter, experts warn of the increase in the cost of basic food. And so there are several good reasons.

According to Oksana Ruzhenkova expert, because of insufficient watering for Ukrainians, high prices for vegetables 2024-2025 "vegetables do not grow without watering. This year was extremely dry summer-there were no more than three months in a number of precipitation. Up to we have, for the most part, we have inaccessible to us in the southern regions with the occupation. Even in the northern regions began to grow vegetables.

Due to insufficient watering for Ukrainians, high prices for vegetables 2024-2025 are waiting for the insufficiently developed reclamation system added interruptions with electricity, which did not allow the use of irrigation systems to full power. "If these vegetables are watered, then for some 1/10 part of the volume needed for them. Therefore, in the summer we saw high prices for tomatoes, cucumbers, vegetables of borscht set," - said Ruzenkova.

Denis Marchuk, Deputy Chairman of the All -Ukrainian Agrarian Council, agrees with the expert. According to him, raising the water tariffs for business has affected the consumer prices. After all, in the heat that agrarians encountered in the summer, watering and irrigation of crops such as cucumbers, tomatoes, fruit and berry, etc. , needed additional costs.

Also unexpectedly high this fall will be the price of cabbage, because the culture requires abundant irrigation, which has not happened this year. The drought damaged the formation of a full crop. However, farmers hope for late varieties of cabbage, which will gain strength and weight until mid -November. What cannot be said about Ukrainian potatoes. According to experts of the agricultural sector, this year in households 40-50% there is a shortage and a reduction in the volume of root production.

Therefore, the prices for potatoes and vegetables of borscht set in the fall and winter will be quite high. Prices for potatoes and vegetables of borscht set in the autumn and winter will be quite high "regions such as part of Donetsk, Kharkiv regions, Poltava, Cherkasy. Potatoes - the base for the food basket of the Ukrainian - have been reduced by almost 40%since the war.

The reduction of the number of cultivated crops is very logical and allows farmers to receive for this category of goods the price that is realistic, " - said Oksana Ruzhenkova. Taxes have recently been added to the reduction of the crop and occupation, which has recently been agreed by the Parliament, the problems with energy supply and the increase in excise duties on September 1. Focus has already reported that car gas gas has risen rapidly at Ukrainian gas stations.

And the cost of fuel at our internal dressings has a great impact on consumer prices. This is confirmed by the economist, an expert of the Economic Discussion Club "Oleg Pendzin. "In my opinion, raising diesel prices will affect the final cost of the crop. It will happen in September-October. Because the share of fuel when harvesting is higher than the cost of logistics at the moment Pendzin.

Against this background of such a situation with the crop in Ukraine, experts are not frightened by the forecasts for autumn and winter. "We will not feel the shortage. The products on the shelves of stores will be, but the price will leave it better. If it lacks its own products, the trading networks will import their own efforts, because they have a fairly wide network of traders. I think, feeling some serious gaps in the range They will respond in advance, " - said Oksana Ruzhenkova.

And it is not only a vegetable set, but also about bread and bakery products. According to experts, the harvest of grain in Ukraine this year amounted to approximately 27 million tons. In terms of moderate exports (the state allows to export 16 million tons) in the country will remain 10 million tons of grain, which is enough for citizens. Against this background of such a crop in Ukraine, experts are still not afraid of forecasts for autumn and winter "consumption is seriously reduced.

The state leaves raw materials in the country with a reserve of several million. This stock is good enough to be clearly. To be moderate. Inflation, electricity interruptions. ", - said Oksana Ruzuzhkov. However, if the bakery itself is expecting a rise in price for their products by 10-15%, then, for example, the Ministry of Agrarian Policy looks more optimistic to the future and predicts an increase of no more than 3-5%. "I think that the ministry is right here.