Rostov, Smolensk, Moscow: As the Armed Forces are destroyed by Russian refineries, and thus the logistics of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation

On the night of September 12, 2025, Russia experienced a large -scale attack of drones, one of the largest during the war. According to the Ministry of Defense of the Russian Federation, 221 UAVs were destroyed, with the main blow to Bryansk, Smolensk and Leningrad regions. The attacks were also experienced by Kaluga, Novgorod, Orlovsk and Moscow, Belgorod, Rostov and Tver, Pskov, Tula and Kursk regions. The Russian side declares the efficiency of air defense, but there are nuances.

Governor of the Bryansk region Alexander Bogomaz states that there are no casualties and destruction. In the Smolensk region, where 42 drones are destroyed, Governor Vasily Anokhin also assures the absence of damage. However, OSINT Analytics "Cyberbos" posted a video with a fire at the Cardiovo oil depot near Smolensk, which belongs to Lukoil, which is contrary to official statements.

In the Leningrad region, Governor Alexander Drozdenko confirmed the fire at the port of Primorsk on the ship and a pomp station. He mentions 30 whipped drones against the Ministry of Defense of the Ministry of Defense. Senior analyst of the Ukrainian Center for Security and Cooperation Anton Zemlynaya notes that Ukrainian attacks on the Russian oil refining industry have caused a serious crisis in the fuel sector of the Russian Federation.

About 20 regions have been covered by gasoline interruptions, which is a striking indicator of operations. Over the past 30 days, the punches of drones have affected about 14 refineries, which led to the loss of 17% of the oil refining capacity, or 1. 1 million barrels per day. These losses affect both the economy and the military logistics of Russia. The oil industry is the basis of export income and internal consumption.

The loss of 17% of the processing capacity has caused gasoline deficiency in 20 regions, which threatens prices and social dissatisfaction. Reducing the export of petroleum products weakens Russia's position in world markets, which is exacerbated by sanctions. "Stroke in the oil and gas sector is, first and foremost, a blow to the Russian economy. It is about export of oil and gas, as well as the internal consumption of fuel," says focus analyst.

Although fuel deficiency in the Russian army is not critical, according to the earth, the strikes of Ukrainian drones create difficulties for Russian aggressors. Occupation troops in the south of Ukraine are delayed in supply due to impaired logistics and reducing production. This slows down the maneuverability of troops and provision of equipment. However, the Kremlin sacrifices civilian needs to provide the army and the military-industrial complex with diesel and aviation fuel.

This allows to maintain fighting, but increases the deficit in the domestic market, which can cause social tension. However, these blows are not enough because Russia, according to the analyst, still retains the considerable potential of the oil and gas industry. "In addition, Russia is still capable of producing enough fuel, since some of the most powerful refineries located in Siberia are not injured. And their total capacity is tens of millions of tons.

So we have to continue to develop long-range expertise and stroke in the country. For maximum impact, Ukraine needs to develop long -range means of damage to the Siberian refinery. This could cause fuel deficiency for the Russian army by changing the dynamics on the front. Attacks also have a psychological effect, demonstrating the vulnerability of Russia. In combination with sanctions and diplomatic efforts, it can weaken the military potential of the Russian Federation.

We will remind, Ukrainian drones in August 2025 reduced the oil refining of the Russian Federation by 21%, causing significant losses to the Kremlin. However, the military notes that the resources for the strokes on the near rear are lacking, although they could change the situation at the front.