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Since the beginning of 2024, two more

Hybrid World War. Who stands by increasing the number of local force conflicts

Since the beginning of 2024, two more "hot spots" with combat actions have been added on the world map. Trends in increasing their number are increasing, and world leaders warn of the need for preparation for the Great War. The focus understood that it was behind new escalations and whether they were able to develop into the Third World War.

In the less than three weeks of the new 2024, the DPRK has already fired at the island of Jonphendo, which is south of the line of demarcation with South Korea. DPRK leader Kim Jong -in, at the end of 2023, ordered to prepare for the war, and now insists that South Korea is a separate state. This will give a point in the initiative of reunification of the peninsula. In the future, the southern neighbors will get the number one enemy status.

In the Red Sea, the Yemeni Hutivits continued attacks on ships with military and strategic goods, and directly on US warships. Hussite leaders have already announced that they would enter the war against Israel on the side of Hamas. The US response, which, together with the EU, recognized Hamas as a terrorist organization. The United States and the United Kingdom, with the support of the Netherlands, Canada, Australia and Bahrain, struck the Hussite military sites in Yemen.

It should be noted that more than 15% of the world trade navigation accounts for the Red Sea area. On January 15, Iran's military forces struck Iraq and Syria, and two days later, they fired at neighboring Pakistan ballistic missiles. In response, Pakistan struck the border territory where the government was found to be terrorists. For the first time since President Taiwan's elections, Chinese military aviation has increased its activity near the island.

William Lai, who won the presidential election, is considered Beijing a "separatist", and Taiwan, respectively, in his territory. The world is rapidly gaining momentum, and some politicians and experts believe that the Third World War has already begun. NATO member states suggest that a direct military clash with the Russian Federation will happen at the end of this decade and are preparing for war.

At the end of 2023, President Volodymyr Zelenskyy in an interview with The Sun stated that Ukraine was at the Center for Global Risk of the Third World War. Earlier, statements have already sounded that Russia would provoke the situation in the Balkans and could invade the Baltic countries, start combat on Suvoral's hallway. Such statements can be evaluated differently, more than political, but in NATO, they still decided to conduct military training on the respective scenario.

According to the principles of logic and historical parallels, it is difficult to call everything that happens world war. We do not see the war of two or more sides or coalitions on a large scale. Although the terminology for the "axis of evil" and "forces of democracy" has already been separated in the media space. All that goes on the world political map is more like a hybrid war that can be traced to the confrontation between the two forces.

Oleksiy Melnyk, the Center for Razumkov Center, Oleksiy Melnyk notes that the overall tendency to increase military conflicts has been observed for the last five years. For example, there are more than 60 such conflicts in the world in the world, in 2021 there were 51, and in a year - 56. If you look at trends and scenarios, we can say that conflicts will continue to aggravate and new.

"With the beginning of the Great War in Ukraine, in the world has come when all parties of existing military conflicts have decided that it was time to take revenge. Unfortunately, the global security system is not able to do anything and stop it," he says. Melnyk notes that the vast majority of conflicts have deep problems and are not one that can be solved quickly. For example, a conflict in the Middle East or Iran against Pakistan.

Analyst of the National Institute for Strategic Studies Alexei Hizhak explains that this situation arises when the old international security system is degraded and the new has not yet been formed. For example, one can mention the world after World War II. Experts interviewed say that exacerbation of military conflicts and increasing their number is not yet a sign of the beginning of the Global War.

This is more another check for the strength of the world players and the definition of the boundary at which the Great War will be inevitable. According to the military expert Ivan Stupak, escalation is due to the fact that there is no force or coalition in the world at the moment, capable of restraining and stopping it all.

"The world has passed into the era of new military conflicts, the principle when everyone can make money and everything will be well, no longer works - money is no longer solved. The US policy with their half -Mirma shows the inability to be a strong world leader, it is gradually seeing everyone. Currently In the world, there is a request for a strong leader whose status is losing the United States. In Europe, they have already begun to prepare for a possible war with the Russian Federation.

In the world stage, arbitrariness is made from those who have been considered weak and held for decades under sanctions - Iran, North Korea. Remember the group of Hezbolla, Hussites, Hamas, "he said. According to Alexei Melnik, new conflicts are beneficial to the Russian Federation, but not always behind them. Currently, it is possible to predict how the Kremlin will act, it is somewhat more difficult to determine what it can do, and how to act so that it does not have this opportunity.

"One of the goals of a full -scale Russian invasion of Ukraine was the distraction of the event from the issues where competition arose with it. In this way, the other side wanted to win this competition. Now exacerbation of the situation in the world, on the contrary, in order to divert the attention of the event from support from Ukraine support , and to involve it in other conflicts, " - says the expert.

Alexei Hizhak suggests that the so -called "evil axis" feels difficult, so they need to break the situation. They have previously promised escalation, now they are doing it. The expert clarifies that the rise in the number of conflicts is not that means war, they are more like terrorist than hostilities. "Such manifestations of semi -terrorist actions will continue, the Russian Federation already promises a series of terrorist attacks in response to Ukraine support.