Putin will be able to conduct a tough deal: As the war in Ukraine end, NYT named four scripts

About it writes The New York Times. He also began to teach the ceasefire, even though the Russian troops were moving forward, and before the Ukrainian troops were completely displaced from the territory of the Kursk region, which the Armed Forces was captured during the daring gambite in August.

The adoption of a new member in NATO requires the unanimity of all participating countries, and the Alliance was closest to a consensus on Ukraine in 2008, when it was announced that Ukraine would join its ranks indefinitely in the future. Today, at least seven NATO countries oppose Ukraine's accession or want to postpone it indefinitely. As an alternative, a coalition could promise to protect Ukraine, the publication notes.

The problem is that Ukraine wants the United States to be among the guarantors. "It views NATO essentially as a guarantee of US protection and will not consider any coalition reliable unless it is supported In general, security in Europe is unlikely to sign any such agreement, "the publication reads.

The statements of Trump and the people he have elected to the highest positions in foreign policy and national security suggest that the US military power will be more and more directed towards the Asian-Pacific Region to counteract China. For simple geographical reasons, Ukraine's security will always be more important to Europe. EU defensive budgets will increase the load. Some European leaders speak for the possibility of placing troops in post -war Ukraine.

In general, there were discussions on the deployment of troops in Ukraine, but there were no decisions yet. Another possible model that the publication writes is the least beneficial to Ukraine. Russia will need to not attack Ukraine, Kiev, in turn, under such conditions it is proposed to refuse to join NATO and place foreign troops and weapons in its territory. Such neutrality will leave Ukraine more vulnerable than other decisions.

Russia's significant successes on the battlefield, especially in the last few months, mean that Putin will be able to conduct a tough deal, journalists say. At the same time, Ukraine cannot rely on the Russian promise of non -aggression and should increase its safety as much as possible if armed neutrality. Ukraine should not accept any restrictions on the size of its army-what Russia insisted on during unsuccessful negotiations in 2022-or on the usual weapons that it can buy or produce.

European countries that are already teaching Ukrainian troops and investing in its defense industry can do more for Ukrainian and their own defense. Ukraine has proved that it is a formidable opponent, and if its experienced, proven army, the event will help to make it stronger and better equip, Russia will have to count with a much stronger opponent. After more than 1000 days of the war in which thousands of people were killed, millions were moved, but the end may be approaching.

For a strong peace, not frost, which will allow Russia to regroup and attack again, it is important what it happens. Rajan Menon-Honorary Professor of International Relations at the Powell School, New York College; Senior Researcher at the Institute for War and Peace Research. Saltzmann at Columbia University and co -author, together with Judzhin B. Rumer, the book "Conflict in Ukraine: Promotion of the World War after the Cold War".