Promotion of the Russian Federation: Putin wants the surrender of Ukraine, seeking tactical victories at the front - isw

The report of the Institute, published on May 28, analyzed the data of the Reuters on the content of the Russian Memorandum, statements by Russian President Vladimir Putin and the deputy chairman of the Russian Security Council Dmitry Medvedev, information on the losses of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation in the war and about the recruitment of volunteers.

It is indicated that the Kremlin head tries to win new territories and victories to force Ukraine to capitulate on the current environment so as not to lose more. The tactical promotion of the Russian army and the sustainability of the Russian economy, despite the sanction, according to Putin, should show the readiness to fight in "creeping mode" "infinitely long".

On these grounds, he hopes for victory on his own conditions, and that this will not interfere with the action of the event or mobilization in Ukraine, written ISW. On the other hand, the Institute drew attention to the proportion of a daily set in the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation and daily losses in the war: 1285 contractors against 1 298 dead. The Institute completely allows the success of Ukraine and the fallacy of Putin's strategy.

"Isw continues to assess that Ukrainian troops, with the support of the West, can lead to higher losses of personnel on the battlefield, which can push Putin to make difficult decisions and force Putin to enter into bona fide negotiations to end the war," the analytics concluded. The Institute gave the position of Moscow, which will be announced in the memorandum for Ukraine.

The conditions for the termination of the war, as Reuters learned, are written confirmation of three countries about Ukraine's non -existence in NATO, as well as the protection of Russian -speaking (including a change in the current government) and the abolition of sanctions against the Russian Federation. "The Kremlin's requirements to stop the war in Ukraine indicate that the purpose of Russia - the surrender of Ukraine and the destruction of NATO - remains unchanged," the ISW report reads.

It should be noted that the next stage of negotiations with the Russian Federation took place in Istanbul on May 15, during which Kiev and Moscow agreed to exchange memoranda with the conditions of termination of the war. On May 28, the Minister of Defense Rustem Umerov reported that the Ukrainian document had already been handed over to the Russians.