"Green Men" and a pro -Russian coup: what danger is Ukraine's elections in Moldova

On September 28 (next Sunday) there is an extraordinary parliamentary election, where: if such a scenario will be obtained, then we will receive a continuation of the border with the enemy and its allies and rise in risks for Ukraine and its future. 1. The pro-European block (center-right): the party of action and solidarity (PAS) of President Maya Sandu is an anti-corruption, EU-oriented Anti-Corruption. Support ~ 30-35%, strong in the diaspora and among young people.

Coalition partners are limited (for example, PN - "Our Party"). 2. The pro -Russian block (left/populist): fragmented but influential. Key players: 3. Others: small parties (Prim, PN) - up to 5%, often "technical" to spray votes. Key factors: the energy crisis (tariff growth) plays on the opposition. Russia has invested (as they write) ~ 100-200 million euros for bribery (through Promsvyazbank, crypto), protests and misinformation.

In Transnysl (Russian "peacekeepers) - 100% pro -Russian control, ~ 10% of the electorate. There is a struggle to limit the diaspora to vote (it is traditionally pro -European). Pro -Russian pro -European ones: Of course, real results can be different from custom public sociology, but what is already showing risks.

Moldova borders with Ukraine for 1220 km, of which ~ 450 km falls on separatist Transnistria - "Frozen conflict" since 1992, where ~ 1500 Russian "peacekeepers" and warehouses of 20 thousand tons of ammunition are located.

Moscow's control over Moldova (through the pro -Russian majority in the election of September 28, 2025) will: expand the border with Ukraine: in July 2025, Putin intensified the contingent in Transnistria for 2000 military, responding to the gas crisis that collapsed the region's economy. This can create a "land bridge" from Crimea to Transnistria, strengthening the Black Sea blockade. Distribute the resources of the Armed Forces: border: it is short.