The Russians took the initiative in Lugansk and Donetsk regions - Estonia intelligence

About it reports the reconnaissance center of the forces of Estonia, writes ERR. This week, the fighting was launched on two sections of the front: on the line of Avdiivka-Marinka in Donetsk region and the Kupyansk-Svatovo line in Luhansk region. On average, the invaders attacked 64 times a day. "The Armed Forces of the Russian Federation is lacking in power and equipment to keep Ukrainian troops under constant tension.

To this day, the Russians have taken over the initiative in Lugansk and Donetsk regions. This indicates that the goals of the Russian Federation have not changed: the occupation of both areas within their administrative borders remains a priority The task, " - said in the message of Estonian intelligence.

It assumes that Avdiivka will remain the main point of concentration of Russian forces, and the capture of the city by Russia can be issued as a political victory, and create a buffer zone in front of Donetsk about 10 kilometers. Thus, the control of Avdiivka will reject Ukrainian artillery and open additional logistics routes. The Estonian intelligence does not exclude the fall of Avdiivka, but note that Ukrainian defense is struck here.

"The impact on the course of the fighting is also given by the road period. Probably, in the next one or two weeks, the impact on the course of hostilities will increase even more. Thus, during a month or two the movement of heavy equipment and armored vehicles will be difficult to harden the soil due to frost. Probably, both the Armed Forces and the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation will try to strengthen their positions before the occurrence of winter, " - reports intelligence of Estonia.

According to Oleksandr Musienko, the head of the Military Legal Research Center in a comment to RBC-Ukraine, Russia's interception on the Eastern Front does not mean a catastrophe. The Russians failed to achieve any significant results.

"Today we can say facts, and the fact is that the Russian troops have not been able to move significantly, and the Ukrainian forces keep the main borders starting with Kupyansk direction and further to Lyman and Bakhmut, Marinka is kept, Avdiivka is kept," - He noted.

In his opinion, the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation are somewhat exhausted in the eastern direction, which is evidenced by the fact that some new Russian units that arrive under Avdiivka are 100% in life, but at the same time only 50% are completed with artillery and armored vehicles. "This means that Ukrainian troops are destroying a large number of armored vehicles, so the enemy rests with live power and aviation. And partly on artillery," the expert explained.

Musienko also added that the situation around Avdiivka plays a significant role for Ukraine - there is a Ukrainian contingent there, and this enables Ukrainian defenders to move on the Left Bank of Kherson region. Recall that the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation dump aircraft on the traces of smoke from the stove-"bourgeois". "Orlans" monitor where the smoke comes from. Subsequently, the Russians are thrown into such homes by corrected aviation bombs.