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According to Frank Mackenzie, director of the Institute of Global and National S...

May can become a turning point in the war in Ukraine - the media

According to Frank Mackenzie, director of the Institute of Global and National Security at the University of Florida, the next 30-60 days of the military campaign will be decisive. Kyiv is waiting for the weather conditions to be improved to spoil the May Celebration of military success of the past years, around which Russian President Vladimir Putin has built his full -scale invasion of Ukraine. Newsweek writes about it.

The authors of the American edition refer to the reports of military researchers ISW, who report in the report on April 26 that "permanent anxiety" is growing among the Russians because of the Armed Forces. "The next 30-60 days of the military campaign will be decisive," said the retired US infantry general Frank McKenzi, an exclusive of the US Navy Central Command, which now manages the Institute of Global and National Security at the University of Florida.

"Ukraine is mostly expressed by the offensive of the Russians this spring. The weather conditions are improving, and now Ukraine integrates with new military opportunities. They have opportunities, but the risks remain high," he explained. The authors of the publication also point out that the BOS of the Wagner PEC Yevhen Prigogin stated that the Armed Forces were sent to Bakhmut well -trained units. "May seem to be a rather important month.

The weather will be suitable for movement, and the nature of operations will change, which is especially important in the Donbass, where poor quality of roads and the same weather conditions for the armed forces," - explained Nick Reynolds from the Royal United Institute for Defense Research .

"The Kiev forces will have new equipment at their disposal, but as it became known from recent information origins, there are serious shortcomings that Western allies either could not, or did not want to eliminate, especially for air defense," Reynolds said. The secret documents of the Pentagon, which in April became the property of the public, states that US officials indicate that the Air Defense network of Ukraine was weakened by Russian attacks with the help of drones-Kamikadze and missiles.

It was also about the need to transmit more ammunition. The researcher noted a serious shortage of equipment, which has long been known. However, despite the fact that May may be decisive, the result of the war is still not close. It will take months or even years.

The analyst also noted that uncertainty about further support of Ukraine in the past has harmed operational planning and created a political imperative and pushed to unjustified military risks, but in the last few months the event has declared plans for long -term military support of Ukraine. "If international partners are serious about helping Ukraine to win, then you need to look at the prepared counter -offensive," he explained.