Weapons in exchange for the island. What will Vladimir Putin ask in Xi Jinping

Russian President Vladimir Putin arrived in China. This is the first visit of the Russian dictator to the Great World State after it was isolated in connection with the invasion of Ukraine. Focus learned what Russian leaders and China were preparing for and what impact it would have on the geopolitical situation. The official reason for the trip is the participation in the forum "One Belt, One Way" (Belt and Road Initiative - Bri).

This Chinese initiative is aimed at building infrastructure and expanding China's global impact. This time it will collect representatives of 130 countries. In particular, the Kremlin reported that Vladimir Putin will discuss with the Chairman of the China Jinping "Development of Russian-Chinese comprehensive partnership and strategic interaction", as well as "Topical regional and international problems".

Unofficially - Putin is looking for support at several levels: political, military and economic. Russia seeks to strengthen the so -called boundless partnership that Putin mentioned by visiting China a few days before a full -scale invasion of Ukraine. Political scientists say Putin went to China to demonstrate the world that he is not isolated, has some support for world leaders.

However, the leaders who are ready to accept Putin are not enough, especially in the conditions where he can be arrested in 124 countries in the world. It should be reminded that the previous time came to Moscow on March 20, 2023, that is, in a few days as the International Criminal Court in the Hague issued a warrant for his arrest on suspicion of deportation of Ukrainian children to the Russian Federation and in the commission of military crimes in Ukraine.

After that, it became clear that Putin could be delayed in the countries that ratified the Roman Statute. However, China is not a member of the clubs of these states, so the trip for the Russian dictator is safe. In addition, Putin has a special warm relationship. At least publicly. Putin carries the leader of the PRC ice cream - Eskimo and the filling. Si, in turn, does not shy away from hugging him.

"Over the last decade, Xi has created the most significant unannounced alliance in the world with Putin. said Reuters Graham Ellison, Professor of Harvard University and former Assistant Minister of Defense at Billy Clinton. Instead, Ukrainian political scientist Mykola Davidyuk believes that China does not seek to break relations with the EU and the US or Russia, so it will try to balance. However, the balance in the understanding of China can be specific.

"Xi Jinping is not an adequate leader," says Arthur Kharitonov's Liberal-Democratic League of the NGO "Liberal-Democratic League of Ukraine" The huge money and much stronger army "at the same time Kharitonov emphasizes that this forum is very important for Putin, and his participation was still announced in March 2023, when Xi Jinping visited Moscow. "This is a continuation of the talking process that began between Xi Jinping and Putin before," Arthur Kharitonov continues.

"I suspect, they will sign the final agreements on Chinese support of Russia. And it is extremely bad news for Ukraine. Because Russia will actually receive endless money for existence in particular, Chinese investments in its own infrastructure. For Ukraine it will be signs of endless Russian capabilities to wage wars. Because Russia does not need funds for the rebuilding of the country, providing its population. Russia is really needed to fight.

" And it was the day before that the ministers of foreign affairs of Russia and China Sergey Lavrov and Van and Beijing spoke. "And also about those objects that China itself needs," the expert adds. "For example, the conquest of the Arctic. This is a particularly important issue for Xi Jinping, it is already building infrastructure in the abandoned Russian region, and receives direct access to US military bases, Canada and NATO in general.

Because the Arctic is controlled by NATO and Russia, China has no direct exit, but may have all Russia. So it is obvious that this is a negative trend for world security. " But of course, for Putin, an urgent issue is the supply of weapons. He needs it to wage war in Ukraine. Russia is ready to share technologies with China, Mykola Davidyuk notes. "Russia has ever drained old Soviet technologies to the Chinese, and in exchange was received either new equipment or goods," he says.

" that happened for many years. China was an enemy of the Soviet Union. Putin now says that there was a lot of border disputes between Russia and China, and now everything was resolved. And when they decided? He was Soviet, in independent Russia he was in common, and for Putin he passed to the Chinese. That is, China already knows how to pick up the territory in the Russian Federation. And this story is illustrating that in relations with China Russia always loses.

" Davidyuk suggests that China still hopes for successful negotiations with the West, so he will try to supply Russia's weapons through North Korea. "China does not want to conclude known agreements directly with the Russian Federation, as the event will promote this as supporting China with money, technologies and weapons that are forbidden. But through North Korea they can help," he said.

In August, The Telegraph wrote that China was helping to equip Russia with helicopters, drones, optical sights and the most important metals used in the defense industry. Instead, Arthur Kharitonov notes that negotiations on weapons for the Russian Federation are obviously successful, because Russia behaves too boldly. "I think they will also be affected by the safety issue, because the Russians are too boldly.

There was a statement by the Russian minister who declared openly that all Russian drones used against Ukraine made in China thanked Beijing for this. disappear, stated that China is ready to share technologies with Russia and Belarus. It is obvious that this is the decision of the party to saturate Russia with technology, "he adds. In addition, Beijing and Moscow plan to develop financial relations in the energy and financial industries. In particular, Russia is a source of oil and gas for China.

The leaders of the Russian energy giants "Gazprom" and "Rosneft" Alexei Miller and Igor Sechin should join this trip to China to Putin. The volumes of Chinese-Russian trade increased sharply after the beginning of the invasion of the Russian Federation into Ukraine in February 2022. Moscow sells Beijing more oil, which does not buy the West because of economic sanctions.

Russia is interested in signing contracts with China for the supply of more natural gas and plans to build a Siber-2 Power Puppets. It will transport gas from the Yamal Peninsula in Western Siberia. "The Russians are negotiating with three key Chinese stakeholders who were introduced by NAPC a few weeks ago in the list of international sponsors of war. China and so has packages of stocks in key Russian projects, in particular, in Yamal, tries to enter Sakhalin.

Arctic is a price that Russia She pays for the money he spends on her. But for China to keep Russia is a penny. It is a question of keeping one Chinese province, "says Arthur Kharitonov. Experts now say that Western allies are waiting for official documents, as well as intelligence data, what they will agree in Beijing. Because it is sometimes difficult to predict. To do this, dictators and travel, say the closed doors, sign secret agreements.

There are probably a few rounds of talks from the United States and further plans. "US President Joe Biden will expect Si Jinping's decision on his visit at the APEC Summit (Asian-Pacific Economic Cooperation) in San Francisco in November. It is there that the geopolitical situation for 2024 should be determined: where China is fighting from the USA and where - No.

If the Chinese leader does not arrive, it is a bad story that means the world will enter the phase of even more chaos, - Arthur Kharitonov is convinced. About something to negotiate with Xi Jinping. In particular, it is a summit that South Korea suggested that Japan and China spend in December. " However, it now indicates that the trends are negative: Russia and China are common tongue. And it did not happen now or half a year ago.

These are systematic steps that have been taken from February 24, 2022, or even earlier. "And we have always guessed these negotiations," says Arthur Kharitonov. "If it was not China, Ukraine would have won Russia for a long time. But unfortunately we are wringing war with Chinese money. China is ready to spend any money if to keep Russia afloat. ". Therefore, the results of negotiations in Beijing will be seen in a few months.