Not repeat 2022: Does the amount of a new breakthrough by the Russian Federation are already in July

The Russian offensive in Sumy region coincides with the intensification of rocket and drone attacks on Ukrainian cities, despite negotiations in Turkey. WSJ notes that the Russians attack, looking for weaknesses, which forces Ukraine to transfer elite units, such as GUR's detachments, to stabilize the situation. One of the Ukrainian commanders told the publication that Russians lose 300-400 people daily, but have reserves.

His detachment of 12 fighters seven hours opposed the numerous Russians in the trench. Another commander described the battle as the most violent, with 5500 machine gun shots. Ukrainians complain about the lack of fortifications and mines in the region. Defense Minister Rustem Umerov assured that the defense lines in Sumy region are being improved as an adaptive system.

"The fortification is not only concrete and trench, it is an adaptive engineering system that takes into account the tactics of the enemy and always serves the same purpose: protection of our soldiers," the minister said. According to Alexander Kovalenko's military-political observer, despite the fact that the Russians are 22 km from Sumy, they are unlikely to be able to use barrel artillery in the city. To do this, it should be placed along the very line of combat collision.

For example, somewhere near Andreevka herself, which was released by the Ukrainian military, or should be somewhere near, for example, a young man. However, as soon as the artillery is located there, it will become a goal for FPV-punks and other artillery systems. According to the expert, the Russians will not risk so much for the sake of terrorist shelling. Currently, their artillery is located in the Kursk region so that they are more difficult to reach the same FPV-aternal.

However, the army of the Russian Federation can use rocket launchers in the city, which could always reach the amounts. "Depending on the modification of rockets, for example, the same RSSU" Smerch " - its area of ​​the lesion is 70, 90, 120 km," - says Focus Kovalenko. According to the expert, the Russian offensive in Sumy region in order to create the so -called buffer zone has now been chosen. He described him as "flabby" due to lack of resources in Russia.

In particular, Russian soldiers are scattered across the forest strips and cannot go beyond Yunnakovka and lost Andreevka. And in the Varachny area, the Russian army is stagnating more than the moon. Ukraine's defense forces gradually become a counter -attack format. The military-political observer also notes that the Russian army will try to regroup in July and make the second wave of offensive. "But all this will depend on what will develop events in Sumy region.

Well, other than that, to regroup and concentrate the appropriate forces and means, these forces and means need to be placed somewhere. They should be based on somewhere. And I think our defense forces of Ukraine now control this area and can act on a pre -trial. This is a slightly difficult task for Russian troops. According to the expert in the Russian army, there is no way to spend the march on the amounts.

This is difficult because of the lack of human resources, and it is possible logistics problems. In particular, they are afraid to face the situation of the beginning of a full -scale invasion, when all communications of the Russian troops were almost destroyed by fuel and ammunition. "So no, I think that this option is not considered now and impossible for the Russians," Kovalenko said.

In addition, according to the observer, the Russians now do not know what to do with the Sumy area, which they do not need and which devours their limited resources. However, the question of preparing the region for possible offensive and advancement of the enemy remains, because the Sumy region was not replaced by anti -personnel mines.

"At that time, Ukraine was a participant in the Ottawa Convention, so I can say with confidence that the border with Russia was not replaced by anti -personnel mines - those we really needed. But not because of negligence, corruption or unwillingness to do it, but because we were forbidden. I think the situation will gradually change in the next six months, "the expert added.

According to the chairman of the NGO "Ukrainian Association of Dream" and the Anti-Corruption Council at the Ministry of Defense Yuri Gudimenko, during 2016-2020 Pavlograd Chemical Plant destroyed 3 million anti-personnel mines of PFM-1 and PFM-1C from army warehouses. We will remind, earlier Alexander Sirsky stated that the Ukrainian military stopped the promotion of Russian invaders in the border areas of Sumy region. The line of combat collision is stabilized.