Putin's heir: Whom and when the Kremlin's owner sees the next President of

“I constantly think of a successor, but in the end, the choice will be for the Russians. There must be several people who could achieve the trust of the people, ”Putin emphasized. It is known that the following presidential elections in Russia are scheduled for 2030. At the same time, after the constitutional amendments of the sample of the 2020, which actually exceeded the previous terms, 72-year-old Putin in the upcoming elections can run again.

Meanwhile, both Roszma and Western media systematically, information about who can become Putin's successor. Standard, so to speak, the set consists of three names: the Expatient, and now the deputy head of Rosradbeza Dmitry Medvedev, the current Prime Minister of the Russian Federation Mikhail Mishustin and Putin's assistant, the NSDC exportant of the Russian Federation Mykola Patrushev.

Quite often in this context is the son of Patrushev-Dmitry, who is currently holding the post of Deputy Prime Minister of the Russian Federation. Putin's hypothetical successors are also called: 69-year-old Secretary of the Russian Council Sergei Shoig, Defense Minister Andriy Belousov, one of the Kovalchuk brothers, deputy head of the Presidential Administration Sergei Kiriyenko, mayor of Moscow Sobanin, Governor of Belgorod. (RFPI) Cyril Dmitriev.

The significant political weight of a native of Kyiv, a 49-year-old Dmitriev, who is now a key Kremlin's white house with the White House, according to experts, it is due, first of all, that his wife Natalia Popov was a classmate and still remains a close friend of Putin's younger daughter. Actually, Tikhonova herself, like her older sister Maria Vorontsov, also often feature in the short-sized Putin's short-lived shorts.

The Kremlin's hypothetical heirs can be attributed to the former Putin's guard, and now the assistant of the President of the Russian Federation and the secretary of the State Council of Russia Alexei Dumin. At least his figure is seriously considered by analysts at the Center for Russian and Eurasian Studies. Davis at Harvard University.

It is noted that 52-year-old Dumin is quite popular with Russian military and propagandists and is extremely close to Putin, who in 2016, as a security guard, saved from a bear in the mountains. The so-called liberal Russians write that, heading earlier, Dumin went far beyond governing powers, in particular, he was directly involved in the operation of annexation of Crimea, and also killed the evacuation process from Ukraine to the Russian Federation of President Yanukovych.

In addition, it is reported that the last role of Dumin played in solving the crisis that arose during the famous rebellion of the former Putin Cock, now the late Yevgeny Prigogine. Putin, saying that he constantly thinks of his successors, tries to launch the process of competition of different towers of the Kremlin, says political scientist Alexei Yakubin.

In particular, in a conversation with focus, the expert noted: “In fact, Putin opened a competition for potential successors, during which participants should demonstrate loyalty and effectiveness in order to obtain a prize. For political regimes, where the leaders are at the power steering for a long time, this tactic is quite popular. On the other hand, Putin's statement of successors can be considered under the prism of his desire to reorient the underfrace in his environment.

In other words, Putin wants them to fight, as they say, not to life, but to death, not with him, but with each other. Thus, the conditionally liberal-capitalist environment, connected with Dmitriev, will compete with the "new Zhirinovsky" in the face of Medvedev and other groups of influence. By the way, let's not forget Kadyrov, who, against the background of the continuous growth of the Muslim population in Russia, also repeatedly hinted at his ambitions as Putin's successor.

In short, it will be to fight. " According to the political scientist, it is the reorientation of all groups of influence on mutual struggle that Putin's statement about successors is directed: “By launching the process of intra -political derby, Putin wants to occupy a niche of a kind of referee. At the same time, in the context of candidates are considered conditionally dynastic things. For example, at least one of Putin's daughters is called a successor.

" Meanwhile, the expert does not rule out that we can eventually witness quite unpredictable dandelions. “Putin can reformat the ruling top of the Russian Federation so that after its expiration, the political bureau is like that is in China. It is a conditional Soviet model, where there was a Secretary -General and several iconic figures in the Politburo.

However, it is possible that Putin wants to choose a Spanish model, which in the 1970s was introduced by the dictator Franco, restoring the monarchy in the country. By the way, this allowed Spain to leave international isolation, focusing on European integration, etc. Given the imperial fantasies of Putin and his environment, such a scenario does not seem so fantastic, ” - summed up Alexei Yakubin.

  In turn, political scientist Oleg Posternak in conversation with focus makes the following emphasis: “It is necessary to realize that the topic of Putin's successors, which is exploding in the information space, then subsides, a priori related to the case of transit of power in the Russian Federation. As a rule, the history of hypothetical successors is guided by the Kremlin to identify representatives of certain groups surrounded by Putin, who have the corresponding ambitions.

By the way, as of today, many who have previously been in successors have already fallen from the Kremlin. In this context, one can mention the former Minister of Defense of the Russian Federation Sergei Ivanov. At the same time, Dmitry Medvedev, who quite actively comments on the Russian-Ukrainian war and the global agenda in general, but de facto turned into a clown.

Emphasizing that the topic of Putin's successors is quite manipulative, the expert added: "In addition, this case is an element of the game in the environment of the Russian elite, which in any case serves as only applied tools to achieve Putin's goals. " In general, Putin's fresh statement about his successors, according to Oleg Posternak, is due to several factors.

First, the Kremlin's head responds to time calls: “The date of 25 years of Putin's presidency will raise the question of what is next, after Putin. Therefore, even though Putin's domination is still quite significant, the topic of the Kremlin's successor needs to be lifted. ” Secondly, according to the political scientist, speaking of likely successors, Putin conducts a kind of testing of his environment.

“The Putin environment is a combination of different groups in power and here it is probing the soil. In this sense, they often talk about the son of Patrushev Dmitry, as well as Putin Dumin's assistant, but Putin actually opens a casting for everyone, ”the expert says. The casting of those who want, predicts Oleg Posternak, will last for years, because it is a certain political tradition in the Russian Federation.