"30% of Avdiivka's loss": Russian troops speak of insufficient advancement in Vovchansk - isw

According to analysts, Russian guidance bloggers reported the Costrata of the Armed Forces in the Liptsi and Deep. In the ranks of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation are concerned about the fact that even small concentrations of personnel can become the purposes of intelligence and turnover complexes of Ukraine. The Russian forces continued on July 6 sabotage and intelligence activities along the international border of the Russian Federation in the northeastern part of Ukraine.

One of the Russian sources stated that the Russian DRG entered Oleksandrivka and Popivka of Sumy region at the border with the Belgorod region. About it writes "Institute of War Study" in the summary of July 6. It is reported that the Ukrainian forces are no longer present in the mentioned settlements. At the same time, the Russian source reported that Russian troops still did not start offensive operations in the area.

It is reported that the troops of the Russian Federation have recently captured positions in the settlement of the Sotnitsky Cossack. But the ISW did not find confirmation because the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation firmly hold the position in the village mentioned. The sabotage activity is probably aimed at distracting the Armed Forces from other areas, while such attempts may indicate a future offensive. Russian troops can start offensive operations from the area.

The personnel of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation are probably focused to mislead Ukraine as to which direction they can start the offensive. On July 6, the fighting lasted north and northeast of Kharkiv, but the front line did not change. The General Staff of the Armed Forces reported that the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation continued the offensive in the area of ​​Liptsi and the deep and northeast of Kharkiv near Starytsia and Vovchansk.

According to Russian sources, the Ukrainian forces were counterattack in the Liptsi and Hly, within and near Vovchansk, as well as in the Pacific. According to the Ukrainian military, the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation in the Volchansk district, they try to regroup units by moving individuals. According to analysts, the Russian military concerned is that even small concentrations of Russian personnel can be vulnerable to the Ukrainian intelligence and turnover complex.

Supervisory blogger Volodymyr Romanov, who often criticizes the Russian command, reported that Russian troops have insufficient advancement in the Volchansk direction. He stated that the Russian forces are far from achieving their goal of creating a 15-kilometer buffer zone and that the Russian forces have problems with coordination in the mentioned direction.

He also stated that the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation, which were on the outskirts of Vovchansk, had already suffered 30% of the losses of the number of personnel spent during the four -month campaign to capture Avdiivka. There are various data (Ukrainian and Russian) on the losses of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation in the Avdeevsky direction, so it is unclear with which the comparison is made.

At the same time, he suggests that an attempt to capture a small Ukrainian border town of Vovchansk cost the Russians significant losses. He put responsibility for the course of the Russian offensive operation in Vovchansk directly to the group of the Russian troops "North" and personally of Colonel-General Alexander Lapin. It should be reminded that the ISW explained why the Prime Minister of Hungary Viktor Orban seeks to become a mediator in peace talks between Ukraine and Russia.