Press India on China: What is the meaning of exacerbation in Asia and whether there is a great war

I note that it is not about war, but about confrontation, that is, an increase in geopolitical tension in the region. Such a confrontation is the weakening of India as China's economic alternative. The recently, Apple has declared the transfer of all its industries from China to India, which will take years. And these are tens of billions of dollars of investments and hundreds of thousands of jobs (given related industries).

India's geopolitical instability can slow down these plans or even put them on the feet. In China, this model of asymmetrical confrontation with the United States has its expenses. This is the threat of the southern route of the new silk route (marine and land), and the harm to Chinese investments in the Pakistan-Chinese trade and economic corridor. But China's profitus in the form of weakening India outweighs all the costs here, because it forms the panziar free of Ukraine.

For the United States, the strengthening of India is seen as China's Asian counterweight, a balancing for Chinese dominance in the Indo-Pacific. The Indian "Path of Spices" against the Chinese new silk path. Although even indirect support from Washington can sharply exacerbate America's relations with Pakistan, but this country is an ally of NATO. For the Russian Federation, this confrontation is unprofitable because Moscow is now trying to approach both Beijing and Delhi.

***** It is important to understand here that the Great War between India and Pakistan is likely not. Both India and Pakistan have nuclear weapons and rockets - delivery means. The etymology of names here is extremely important. India called its launcher "Agni". Agni is in Hinduism, the god of fire and the sacrificial campfire. That is, a clear hint of the enemy "under the root". In Pakistan, the launch rocket is "Shahin", that is, a falcon, a predatory bird.

Here is an allusion to attack the enemy's strategic goals. The point is clear: India can destroy Pakistan, but Pakistan cannot destroy India, but is able to destroy its strategic centers. Prior to the advent of nuclear weapons, there were bloody wars in which hundreds of thousands of people were killed. During the Third Indo-Pakistan War in the 1970s, Pakistan lost its province of East Bengal, which became the Republic of Bangladesh.

Therefore, it is still about the border conflict and exacerbation of relations. Nuclear weapons restrain countries from mutual destruction. Moreover, Pakistan's nuclear doctrine has a nuclear weapon assignment option . . . to its territory (if it is captured by Indian troops that have a conventional advantage). Therefore, India does not make sense to enter Pakistan - then you can definitely get a tactical nuclear charge and blame will not be accused.