Former Presidential Advisor and Economist Andriy Ilarionov in an interview with blogger Alexander Shelest, on January 13, said that Russia plans to start a new large -scale offensive that will cover the whole of Ukraine. The Kremlin, he said, has been preparing for four months. He made such a statement in an interview for Ukrlife TV on January 15.
Andriy Ilarionov claims that from January 15, it is necessary to be especially careful, as the Kremlin can begin the implementation of plans for a large -scale offensive on Ukraine. Moscow may announce additional mobilization on that day. The troops can be brought to a million people. According to the politician, the fact that all these months could not be called the "Great War" despite the destruction and death of many people.
According to Ilarionov, preparation for a new, incomparably larger scale of fighting began on September 17. One of the arguments in favor of the Russian Federation is preparing for attack is the number of losses in the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation. The last 3-4 months their number has increased several times. Mobilized more than 300,000 people.
He claims that today's group of Russian troops is 600-700 thousand people, and the army will use new types of weapons that have not been used before. Under it, he means hypersonic zirconium missiles on the Admiral Gorshkov ship, which will pass through the Atlantic and Indian Ocean, as well as the Mediterranean Sea. On December 15, Vladimir Putin held a meeting on which the decision was made about the "Great War".
It should be noted that the Kremlin press service reported that at the meeting they discussed the issues of strategic development of the Russian Federation and the "development" of the occupied regions of Ukraine. "Putin and the top of the Russian leadership and the General Staff of the Russian Federation work 24 hours a day, in non-stop. Putin meets with the military daily,"-says the former adviser to the President of the Russian Federation.
According to Ilarionova, Putin also appoints new deputies for strikes in the directions: Hilarionov claims that Vladimir Putin wants to attack Ukraine from the territory of Belarus to Lviv to cut ways of supplying Western weapons. In this direction, he said, it will be a major blow. "Operation in the General Staff is called" Great Stalingrad. - says Ilarionov. He says it is difficult to predict where Salukov's group will go: Sarnia, Kovel or further to Lutsk-Ternopil.
But a more likely step is to step on Kovel-Lviv from Brest to paralyze military assistance. "It is the shortest distance to Lviv - the largest railway, highway and other transport center, through which the main flow of military assistance from Western partners and allies passes," the economist continues.
It should be noted that the Commander of the Joint Forces of the Armed Forces Lieutenant General Sergey Nayev reported on January 12 that the situation in the territory of Belarus does not pose a direct threat to Ukraine. Not only Ukraine but also US and Poland intelligence follows the situation. Grouping of Colonel-General Kim can plant a landing in the Budzhak area (a historic region in southern Ukraine in Odessa region).
According to Hilarionov, the blow will be in the area for the following reasons: it is possible that the troops will go to Chisinau to change the political regime in Moldova. "An offensive on Kyiv is possible, but in my opinion, it will be distracted. In order to tie, to squeeze Ukrainian forces," Ilarionov said. Events at the beginning of a full -scale war showed that the capital not to take a powerful group.
When asked why Western intelligence does not signal anything about such a great offensive by Hilarionov that they either do not know about him or remain silent "not to frighten. " Andriy Ilarionov is a Russian economist and politician. From 2000 to 2005 he was an adviser to President Vladimir Putin in the economy. He resigned because of a number of decisions of the President of the Russian Federation. After 2005, Ilarionov became opposition to Putin by a politician.
In 2014, shortly before the invasion of the Russian Federation, he warned plans to annex Crimea and East of Ukraine. In 2021 he stated that the West had moved to Moscow, and the negotiations of President Joe Baiden and Putin he compared to the "Munich plot". A number of journalists criticized him for this. The Commander -in -Chief of the Armed Forces General Valery Zaluzhny in an interview with The Economist stated that the Russian Federation was preparing a new offensive on Kyiv.
The enemy, he said, is preparing about 200,000 soldiers, who can already start a new attack on the capital in the spring. Zaluzhny does not rule out that the offensive will start from another direction - from the south, from the east in the Donbass or north from Belarus. According to British intelligence of January 11, the transfer of Russian aviation to Belarus will not lead to invasion of Ukraine.
The Russian Federation concentrates forces in the union country, but there is not enough new invasion. On January 9, the media wrote that US intelligence did not capture the threats from Belarus. Joint exercises of the Russian Federation and Belarus in the latter do not say that a new offensive is being prepared from Ukraine from the north.
Even before the New Year, the head of the Ministry of Defense Kirill Budanov in an interview with The New York Times stated that it is impossible to completely eliminate the invasion from the territory of Belarus, but now all events are "part of misinformation campaigns". The Russian Federation uses the tactics of the USSR when it transports mobilized in trains from the Russian Federation to Belarus and back. Such "carousel" made the Soviet Union to simulate the offensive.
"It would be wrong to drop this opportunity from the accounts," he added, "but it is also wrong to say that we have some data that would confirm its existence," Kirill Budanov said. And on January 12, the Minister of Defense of Ukraine Alexei Reznikov in an interview for the Air Force stated that spring is the best time for the offensive for both parties. "We need to calculate all the risks, as we have 2500 km of the common border with unfriendly neighbors, including 1200 km from Belarus.
All rights reserved IN-Ukraine.info - 2022