Problems will start in August: the analyst told about an insoluble crisis in the Russian Federation

"Regarding the state of the Russian economy, there are budgetary problems in the Russian Federation, which will most likely be solved not at the expense of war or their army, but will cut funding, such as regions, reduce the payments of the Dammpher (when the state compensates for losses for producers who release the goods at low prices, which will be lost in the way. Russians, "he predicted.

However, according to the expert, in the banking sphere of the Russian Federation there is a crisis that "cannot be solved" due to the lack of appropriate tools. In Russia, a huge number of loans of the military-industrial complex were issued. Most likely, banks will receive payments from these delays. In addition, the Russians also gained loans, especially the preferential for the purchase of apartments in 2022-2023.

These people will now lose their jobs and will be more likely to contact banks to defer payments or declare themselves bankrupt. The Russian "VTB Bank" is looking for almost two trillions of rubles (almost $ 24. 5 billion at Yahoo Finance) to fulfill the basic standard - capital sufficiency for banks. "There are some problems with other banks of the Russian banking system.

Therefore, I think the crisis will begin classically, just as it happened in the early 1990s in the Soviet Union, from the banking sector," Neskhodovsky emphasized. He explained that in order to finance its expenditures, Russia will be forced to carry out a mass issue, that is, to release new banknotes. Now it is gradually reduced, but "small pieces". "However, within two months at such a price for oil, they will be forced to do so in maximum volumes.

That is, a trillion of rubles will pump into the Russian economy, which will affect both banks and inflation, and generally on the economic situation," the analyst said. According to him, the Kremlin's banking problems will begin in August-September 2025.