The Kremlin doubts if they will be able to win the war in Ukraine in the next two years - analysts

About it writes "Institute of War Study" in the summary of October 30. On October 30, the Russian opposition edition of Meduza reported that the first deputy chairman of the Presidential Administration of the Russian Federation Serhiy Kiriyenko did not start planning the "contours" of the election to the State Duma of 2026, although it is usually done two years before the election.

A source close to the Presidential Administration told reporters that election policy formation depends on whether the war in Ukraine in 2026 will continue. Meduza reported that the source in the leadership of "Edina Russia" stated that it was unclear whether they would participate in the election campaign of 2026, or a person who "symbolizes the return to a peaceful life", for example, Prime Minister Mikhail Mishustin.

It is noted that the situation on the front will also depend on the composition of the list "single Russia". "Will the military be above or one person symbolizing a return to a peaceful life, such as the Prime Minister," the publication reads.

A political technologist who works with the Kremlin and several regional governments reported that if the war continues during the 2026 election campaign, the Kremlin will need a "force based on ultra -patriotism", such as a new political party or a "slightly updated" party " Right Russia. " According to a journalistic source, if the war is over, the Kremlin will need "moderate forces".

On October 26, "Right Russia" held a congress and announced that its new political course would be "patriotic socialism", which the party called it necessary during Russia's war in Ukraine. It should be reminded that the Kremlin "rewards" the generals of the Era of Shoigu sentences. The British intelligence reported details.