We learn that the war has ended when Russia has achieved sufficient success to satisfy Putin, or Ukraine will bring back Russia's past achievements. Video day second method is determined by losses. Statements were made about how many people were killed and injured and how many equipment was destroyed, damaged and abandoned. We learn that the war has ended when Russia or Ukraine exhaust their capabilities and will no longer be able to continue the fight. These two measures are interrelated.
It is assumed that the consequences of exhaustion are likely to be in the battle for the territory. At the moment, none of these methods of measuring the course of war indicates a clear winner. Therefore, to see where this war goes, you need to look not only on cards, but also on the lists of losses. The advantage in defense but let's start with cards in the last four months of fighting. What is the most amazing is how little territory went from hand to hand.
The Russians completed Mariupol's admiration and advanced in the Luhansk region with great effort, and Ukraine has bitten their positions in Kharkiv and Kherson regions and pushed out of the Snake Island. And besides, very little. The defense prevailed in this war. This could be seen when Russia failed to take Kyiv and then left the north of Ukraine.
But if the defense remains dominant, how can war end? The Russians are still frustrated by the fact that they have not even achieved their minimal purpose - the capture of the entire Donbass, and in Ukrainians about 20% of their country's territory is in extreme brutal occupation.
Even such a praised Ukrainian offensive to repel Kherson at the moment seem to be thwarted, because the Russians have thrown thousands of soldiers to strengthen their defense, which reduces the likelihood that their expected offensive in Donetsk would move forward. Therefore, the impression of a deadlock. In the most sophisticated comment, both sides appear to be drunken boxers exchanged by jabs and apercots, but are not capable of causing a knockout stroke.
Since, unlike boxing, there is no referee that can put an end to the battle and allow the judges to declare the winner, it seems that these two are doomed to continue to fight until one of them falls from complete exhaustion. Such comments often lead to the offers of the United States to impose the parties to end the battle. To support the analogy, Washington can sit in the corner of Ukraine, but sees the pain caused and is forced to intervene and surrender.
Otherwise, these two are doomed to fight until no one can fight. Or, as soon as the logic of the situation is recognized, a difficult truce or ceasefire will be concluded, which decides nothing, but gives the two armies the opportunity to freshen up and restore strength before continuing again from the place where they stopped. The war that we now see when the defense is dominated and the territories are moving from hands to hands are a war for exhaustion.
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