Putin v.

As expected before the elections, Russia enters a new period of history - on all grounds, monarchical, writes political scientist Igar Tyshkevich. In the next year or two, Putin will end to build this system-but then the extinction will begin. Let the emperor live? He lives, but with his nuances. The elections in Russia were as planned as the Kremlin. Putin's rating allowed not to manipulate voices. It was chosen by the President. And here it was about the legitimation of the king.

Therefore, the turnout and the percentage of Putin's votes were critical, which could not be less than in any previous elections. At the same time, the figures were perceived not as a result of the electoral process, but as a measure of the loyalty of local authorities (both the governor and the local elites) of the new-old governor. Therefore, even in the problem regions, both turnout and votes were "off.

Particularly demonstrative appearance is a picture in regions where, for objective reasons, it was difficult to "catch". There, Putin was allegedly voted in voting by anyone who can walk or move at all. For example, the same buryatia, having a lower percentage of turnout (which is logically given the difficult situation with protests), gives close to record indicators. As, however, Bryansk, Belgorod and Kursk regions.

The second difference between the "King's election" format is the attitude towards competitors. Next to the emperor, there can be no figure that can be perceived as a potential alternative. Therefore, all competitors are satisfied with a small percentage. Moreover, the percentage below the "pass barrier" for the parties in the Duma elections. Also logical - political life is possible solely with the permission of the king. And he determines who will have more "votes" in parliament.

The exception is the monarchists (today - "Union Russia"), who did not exhibit their candidate. The rest of Putin will take even part of their electoral and ideological base: there are changes in relations with groups of elites. Putin's power until 2023 was the power of the Arbitra between groups of influence. That is, the mediator in resolving disputes, a figure that was higher, but tried to find a compromise decision in conflict situations.

At the same time, Putin did not allow one of the groups to intensify so that he was not tempted to replace him. The king's format is somewhat different. The Kremlin towers can turn to Putin. But not informing about the problem, but "asking for protection". The king can be soul and executed. And the king can change his mind. That is, the concept of "arbitrator"-the guarantor of the arrangements goes back to the past. Instead, "the tsar's commitment is a guarantor of your positions.

" The functions of the arbitration will remain, but there is an option of decision on the principle of the desire of one person. At first glance, the situation for Putin is beautiful. And the Patriots of Russia will argue that the situation is beautiful for the Russian Federation (more precisely, the Russian Empire in its new reincarnation). But there are several features and challenges that do not destroy this country today, but in the complex lay a meal of slow action under its foundations.

Among the key: therefore the peak of the development of the Putin system is likely to occur in the next year or two (the formation of "monarchy"). Next will go gradual attenuation. Both management systems and countries. It's about years and perhaps a couple of decades. The speed will depend on relations with neighbors (including the end of the war in Ukraine) and how much these neighbors (in particular, or above all, Ukraine) will be able to develop successful and dynamically.