Putin's fashion: what India is looking for in Russia and for whose benefit

The visit of the leader of India Narendra Modi to Moscow was taken by us almost as a betrayal of Ukrainian interests. The analyst Yuri Bogdanov urges to refrain from categorical evaluations and explains why everything is not so clear here. The visit of fashion to Russia, the influence of China and the benefit of Western sanctions. After the animal attack on Kiev, many lightnings were logically flew to the Ukrainians towards the Western partners, who "do not make enough to get a monster.

" Partners require more, and often - fair. Of course, the Prime Minister of India Narindra Modi, who flew to Russia yesterday and communicated with Putin soap, flew no less-because how it is possible when the Russians do so. President of Ukraine Volodymyr Zelensky called the Prime Minister's trip to a "devastating blow on peacekeeping efforts", calling a visit "great disappointment". There is a lot of just in this assessment.

But it is necessary to analyze the causes of certain events and consider them in the complex. In particular, in the behavior of the government of the world's largest country. Because the world is complex. In India and fashion, the scale of the country is in person: with the beginning of a full -scale war, a new big problem has arisen in the Modi Government: Russia's drift towards China. Because Western sanctions forced Russia to seek critical goods and critical markets for themselves in the PRC.

Too close to Russia and China's partnership poses additional threats to India, as it can strengthen the military and economic potential of its opponent. In particular, for example, to reduce China's dependence on the route through the Indian Ocean. Which is controlled by India. Therefore, the Indian leadership wants to leave Russia's space for maneuver to store levers that could delay Russia from China. It is vital for India that Russia remains neutral in the confrontation of India and China.

However, India is important to maintain a good relationship with the US, Australia, Japan, which is also a source of investment and partners in military-political alliances against China. Putin, of course, also has the desire not to depend only on China. Accordingly, in our war neutrality for India is quite natural. And the purchase of Russian oil, especially if discounts are available, too. India is the second volume of its buyer after 2022.

However, Russia cannot receive all possible bonuses from such India policy. Sanctions have forced banks to dramatically reduce operations with Russia, Russia sells oil for Rupees, and it is difficult to convert rups to dollars, euro and even Yuan. In fact, much of money, Russian companies can only spend on investments in India or its government securities. If the event really wants to limit this trade more, the main blow should fall on the fleet that transports Russian oil.

But here we return to the Biden dilemma: strong sanctions or cheap gasoline. Biden is still choosing cheap gasoline before the election. And another important accent. The visit of fashion should not overshadow important trends: in many areas (especially technological), the cooperation of India and the Russian Federation is curtailed.

Over the past 5 years, the share of the Russian Federation in imports of weapons has reached a minimum in 60 years - India has been buying more and more in the US, Israel and France. Because Russia's dependence on Chinese components is a direct threat - in which this weapon will not be able to serve. Plus India has finally localized the production of Bramos missile family, which was in common with the Russian Federation. In short, again: the world is very complicated.