Putin wants to exchange territories: why Russian troops are expanding the invasion of Ukraine

It is noteworthy that on July 4, 136 combat clashes took place on the front, 42 of them in the Pokrovsky direction. In my opinion, it is worth waiting for the expansion of the fighting theater through new territories. First of all, this will happen in Sumy and Kharkiv regions, and there will also be an attempt to break into the territory of Dnipropetrovsk region.

The possibility of scalating the combat theater will be used by the Russian side as military-political pressure on the Ukrainian leadership during the so-called Istanbul meetings on the end of the war in Ukraine. This is what you should expect not only for the summer, but also in the autumn.

The last telephone conversation of Putin and Trump has shown that the Kremlin head makes it clear that it is not going to change the nature of the fighting until the moment of the intermediate stages of the so -called one. Despite the tremendous losses in the live power, Russian occupation troops do not leave attempts to promote in the direction of Pokrovsk and enter the administrative borders of Donetsk region.

Russian invaders do not leave attempts to directly control the location of the Defense Forces of Ukraine in the Pokrovsky direction. After establishing control over the highways of Pokrovsk -Konstantinovka, Pokrovsk - Main main task of the invaders - promotion on the flanks in order to create an operational environment of the Defense Forces of Ukraine in the Pokrovsky direction.

The promotion in the direction of Malynivka continues to open the way to the Russians to another flank of the cities of Myrnohrad and Pokrovsk through the village of New Economic. The invaders are well aware that the ability to storm the Pokrovsk -Mirnograd frontal attacks is practically reduced to zero. There is echelorated defense, plus - urban development and the presence of a very serious industrial zone. All this, accordingly, will increase the loss of Russian invaders.

I will remind that during the fighting for Bakhmut the loss of the invaders amounted to about 60 thousand personnel. The same situation was during the fighting for Kurakhovo. There, the occupiers of the invaders were, according to various estimates, up to 30 thousand personnel. Given these enormous losses and the inability to compensate for, the Russian Federation is now doing everything possible to minimize such a negative scenario in the Pokrovsky direction.

But as we can see, it is very unsuccessful. Pokrovsk is the last agglomeration on the way to the administrative border with the Donetsk region. It is also possible to return from Pokrovsk to the north for Kramatorsk and south for further advancement along the border to the Zaporizhzhya region. In recent days, Russian armed units have intensified attempts to break Ukrainian defense on the approaches to the administrative border of Dnipropetrovsk region.

The main attempts of breakthrough are concentrated in the Novopavlovsky direction - it is through him that the enemy moves from Donetsk region to the borders of Dnipropetrovsk. Russian troops operate in small assault groups with the support of armored vehicles, motorcycles, cubic shocks and drones, including tactical FPV-Drones.

According to DeepState and other OSINT analysts, the Russians moved to the administrative border of the region at a distance of 2 km in early June to less than 100 meters at the end-however, the fact of entering the territory of Dnipropetrovsk was not officially confirmed. According to the Commander -in -Chief of the Armed Forces Alexander Sirsky, the Russians tried to break into the administrative border of Dnipropetrovsk, but failed.

The enemy aims to enter the administrative border of Donetsk and Dnipropetrovsk regions - to achieve, in particular, demonstration and propaganda goals. Last week, individual assault groups of the Russians approached the administrative with Dnipropetrovsk, but were broken and rejected.

I would like to point out that if the Russians manage to intercept tactical initiative and move to borders with Dnipropetrovsk region, then during the talk process it will be used as an element of military pressure not only in Ukraine but also the United States. I will explain why I do not accidentally emphasize that there will be a zoom in the combat theater through new territories.

The occupiers in Donetsk region will need to storm Slavic-Kramatorsk agglomeration, these are four large industrial cities: Slavyansk, Kramatorsk, Konstantinovka and Druzhkivka. It should be recalled that Bakhmut, which is much smaller in size, was stormed for 9 months, having suffered tremendous losses. And here is the storm of agglomeration of four cities with dense urban buildings, a huge industrial zone and our prepared defense positions.

Realizing that these cities can be stormed for more than a year, a Russian dictator can use as a pressure levers - the possibility of capturing certain territories of Sumy, Kharkiv regions and a possible breakthrough in the Dnieper region for the so -called exchange. In this way, the invader makes it clear that it can stop the offensive in Sumy or Kharkiv region, and the forces of Ukraine's defense leave from the controlled territories of Donetsk region.

And such a scenario should not be ruled out. Currently, Russian invaders have not achieved tactical results in Kharkiv and Sumy regions. Putin's intention to create the so -called "buffer zone" was defeated. The pace of the offensive of the occupying army is significantly different from the Kremlin's expectations. According to the plan of the Russian dictator, the depth of advancement of Russian troops in Sumy and Kharkiv regions should be up to 20 km, but they managed to advance a maximum of 6 km.

Meanwhile, the forces of Ukraine's defense continue their presence on the part of the Kursk region of the Russian Federation. For attempting to displace them, according to the public initiative "Right Case", in the area of ​​the village of Guyevo in Kurshchyna, which is located near the border with Ukraine, additional units of the 22nd Motorized Rifle Regiment of the 44th Army Corps of the Leningrad Military District were transferred.

This indicates that the operational reserves of the Russian troops among the operational-tactical groups "Bryansk" and "Belgorod" (and their total number-almost 100 thousand people) are no longer enough for attempts to restrain Ukrainian promotion in the Kursk, Bryansk and Belgorod regions.

In addition, according to the GI "Right Case", additional units of the 137th Regiment of the 106th Division of the Air Force troops of the Russian Federation were relocated to the area of ​​the village of Gogolivka in the Kurshchyna village. This division is considered one of the most capable.

Information on the release of operational reserves of the Russian army from the rear districts of the Russian Federation in the Kursk region refutes Putin's statements about the full control of the situation in the Kursk region and the breakthrough and expansion of the bridgehead in the Ukrainian Sumy and Kharkiv regions. As we can see, the situation is opposite.