The Armed Forces hold a limited indentation from Bakhmut, but the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation will not be able to move on - ISW

At the same time, it seems inevitable that the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation will be forced to stop, and this will create favorable conditions for the counter -offensive of the Defense Forces of Ukraine. About it reports "Institute of War Research" in its summary for March 5. Military researchers refer to Russian troops who are a little awaiting the next offensive efforts of the Russians, if they still manage to capture Bakhmut.

After that, they can try to restore the promotion to Konstantinovka or Slavic. But it will be difficult to supplement the losses of personnel and equipment. It is likely that the offensive of the Russian troops will reach its peak in the Bakhmut area before or after its possible seizure, this circumstance, along with the onset, which has already been chosen, in the area of ​​the collet and in the Luhansk region will probably create good conditions for the future counter -offensive of Ukraine.

Nowadays, the Armed Forces are most likely to carry out limited tactical retreat from Bakhmut, although it is too premature to talk about the intentions of the Ukrainian command. The Railway River, which was confirmed by geolocated shots, indicates the indentation from the east bank of the Bakhmutka River. On March 5, the Russian media reported the capture of the Eastern, Northern and Southern Bakhmut, but there are no independent confirmations.

Geolocated frames indicate that the forces of the Wagner PEC continue the offensive in the northwestern Bakhmut, as well as in the area of ​​the Stupka railway station. It is still difficult to say whether they plan to keep the Armed Forces from the west shore of Bakhmutka. Bakhmut's defense for the Armed Forces seems strategically substantiated because it harms the power and equipment of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation, but until the losses of the Armed Forces are excessive.

It is unlikely that the Armed Forces in full composition will leave Bakhmut, the gradual retreat will cause damage to the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation in street battles, even under the conditions of active retreat. For their part, the Russians will not quickly capture new areas.

The city center is located on the western bank of the Bakhmutka River, and the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation will have to fight in the area, if it is not possible to move in the northern or southern parts. The conditions of the city landscape will play on the Armed Forces if it is not possible to hold chrome (the northwestern outskirts of Bakhmut).

Russian troops say that the Armed Forces are trying to defend chromomovo and reflect the attacks of Russians on Ivanovsk, which can force the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation to go through the Bakhmut Center. This is due to the risk of significant losses and stopping the promotion of the occupation troops. Street battles in Bakhmut can deplete Russian forces just as it was in Severodonetsk/Lisichansk, where, in fact, the summer offensive of the Russians in Lugansk and Donetsk regions ended.