Sumy threat. What is actually capable of Russian troops in the northern sections of the front

The military analyst Konstantin Mashovets describes the situation on the new front of the front - near Vovchansk. In addition, it monitors what is happening on the border with the Sumy region, and provides for possible development of events in this direction.

Obviously, the enemy's command in the Kharkiv operating direction does not leave the hope of fulfilling its main task-to take control of Vovchansk and create conditions for further active actions of its advanced units in the southern and southeastern directions. But for the last two days, the enemy tried to some extent growing his efforts in the tactical zone, not only directly in the Volchansk area, but also restoring his attempts to attack the direction on the village. Lipka.

In particular, the advanced units of the 18th Motorized Rifle Division (IAS) of the enemy, with the support of the units of the 11th Army Corps (7th Separate Rifle Regiment, the so-called "African Corps" and a number of others), attacked two, attacked two. Directions: From them the enemy was able to move only along the Liepe River to a distance of 1-1. 2 km.

As far as I understand, in general the end of the first stage of its offensive in this direction, the Russian command will consider the release of its advanced units on the line of Lipka - fun. But it is possible that the realization of these wishes will either be significantly delayed or will not happen at all.

As for the Volchansk district, obviously, during the last two days the enemy command tried to create the conditions for the more or less sustainable fixing of the position of its advanced units both in the city itself and west, along the western bank - Buguvatka.

To this end, the units of the 2nd Tamanskoy Rifle Division (probably from its 1st tank regiment \ TP and the 1st Motorized Rifle Regiment \ SME), or the 47th Tank Division \ TD, occupied completely the forest area and Ogirtseve to the Seversky Donets, Ukrainian troops on this site, obviously, completely went to the east bank of the river.

In the area of ​​the city of Vovchansk, probably the advanced units of the enemy from the crews of his 6th All-Military Army (IDA)-the 138th and 25th separate motorized rifles (OMSBR) are drawn up "Titanic Street" to stay in the city itself. At the moment, the enemy apparently holds the Volchansky Meat Plant and the old airfield to the north of the city, as well as several adjacent quarters along Tereshkova and Novoselivska streets.

Several attempts by the enemy to attack from the airfield in the direction of the city were stopped by the advanced units of the Armed Forces of the Armed Forces with intense fire damage to the fighting orders of the attacking units of the enemy. At the moment, the situation in the Volchansk area for Ukrainian troops does not in any way look "catastrophic", as "Russian etymology" vomiting "catastrophic voices" vote about it with stupid voices, and behind them - several domestic long -term.

The fact is that it could be such if the enemy managed to move along the Seversky Donets River not only on its western shore, but also on the eastern one, in the direction of Hatyshche - Sinelnikov, before which forced the Wolf from the north to the south. But at this point, apparently, the Armed Forces units successfully hold their leading positions in this direction.

And, accordingly, provide the possibility of full logistics (MTZ) of our units operating in the Volchansk area, as well as-appropriate maneuver forces and means in this direction. Now, regarding the possible actions of the enemy in the Sumy operating direction. In the tactical group "Kursk" the enemy has \ had in a detailed state: in general, in this direction there were about 9-10 thousand Russian "carcasses", draped into military uniform.

However, before the very activation of the enemy in the Kharkiv operating direction, units from his 44th Army Corps (AK)-the 30th Motorized Rifle Regiment (SME) of the 72nd Motorized Rifle Division (SME) and 128- 128- her separate motorized rifle brigade (OMSBR). Some of them even unloaded at the Kursk railway station. In general, the enemy's command regrouped the units with a total number-up to 3700-3750 additional "carcasses" with regular weapons and military equipment (OWT).

Unlike the formations of the Kursk group, which operated in this direction earlier, and partly in the status of "restoration", these were quite capable and staffed units. Therefore, it is not surprising that they were partially used in the Kharkiv operating direction. Although not all and on a sufficiently limited scale.

At this point, if we are talking about the possible activation of the enemy in the Sumy operating direction (according to General Budanov), then in this sense the two most likely directions are visible: by the way, in the first direction, obviously, the enemy still "reaches" some additional forces and means (quite possible - from other operational directions).

And in the area of ​​Grayvoron, apparently, except for those battalions from the group "Kursk", which were previously deployed here, probably "shouted" was the 128th OMSBR 44th AK, and perhaps even in "full composition". So we sum up. Well, or let's try to "put in a pile" of some obvious things that we have dubious pleasure now.