It remains one and a half months. Why Russia beats in the cities of Ukraine and what will be in November

There is only one argument in the US elections in Russia: to increase the intensity of attacks in cities and a degree of atrocities against civilians, says analyst Alexei Kopitko. So the enemy hopes to provide himself with the best conditions for the 2025 campaign, the course of which will be laid in November.

Bombs on Kharkiv, bombs in Zaporizhzhia, blows on Sumy, Kryvyi Rih, Kherson, not to mention constant attacks on cities in Donetsk - this is fitted into a canvas, which I noted three weeks ago. Before the US elections in Russia, only one argument remained: to increase the intensity of attacks in cities and a degree of atrocities against civilians. Because the forces of Ukraine's defense continue to be reflected, and it does not break them with the enemy. Only from the inside. From the rear.

Unfortunately, there are no effective antidotes for these blows. The participants of the US election show that they do not want to get involved in the Ukrainian situation and make it an important part of the agenda. There will be no sufficient technical means until November. There may be statements and point improvements. I want to make a mistake. Therefore: where it is not possible to ignore the alarm signals - do not ignore. Autumn tips were in the spring. He who has reacted - he had time.

Now it is important not to lay. Everyone saw the successes of far strikes in Russia. The effect of the removal of arsenals and ammunition warehouses should be manifested a few weeks after the incidents (ie in early October). If there are the same success - then the pressure on the front may be slightly reduced. It remains one and a half months.

If the Russians do not manage to destroy the front (even if there are still losses) before the election, they will not be able to play a map of assistance to Ukraine as a failure of America. And the tone of conversations in November will not be the one they would like. It is in November that all real decisions on 2025 in both the United States and Europe will be. You will have to endure. The author expresses a personal opinion that may not coincide with the editorial position.