War to the victorious collapse. What event scenario will lead Ukraine to victory

The scenario of the victory of Ukraine is likely to include the collapse of Russia, the analyst Alexander Kochetkov predicts. This option is very likely - in fact the Kremlin regime has already crossed the limit of stability, it is simply not visible. How long will the war last? I see more and more publications that the war can not last month, but years. It is good that this is not a very pleasant understanding of thinking people.

But did this opinion have mastered our society? And what, in fact, should change over the years about what is now? There are heavy, bloody but positional fights on the front. Yes, the chances of a strategic breakthrough of the Armed Forces are maintained, and our command tries to strengthen the offensive to reach this breakthrough before the autumn rains. But 50 to 50, that autumn and mud, will find us about the same positions as today.

Atacams and Abrams in the quantity they provide will strengthen our opportunities, but not so that the defense of the enemy immediately fell. If you approach soberly, the war will continue at least next year. It is necessary to understand that under -imperia has adapted to the war and is ready to pull it at least for decades.

The amount of foreign exchange revenues from energy in energy has decreased, but it allows to finance the army, to produce weapons and ammunition and - the main thing is to keep security forces that will not allow protests and riots. In mid -2022, despair was observed due to sanctions - there was a shortage of Western production, the number of flights decreased, the Russians were quietly, in the cam, but nervous and grunting.

And now in the shops, they are full of sub -goods, western trains and western aircraft fly, which had to boil it. The Russians stop letting into Europe, but they switched to the Arab world. In most of them, more or less norms. And the dissatisfaction with the war is now much less than at the beginning. Because it turned out to affect those segments of the population of the non -imperia, which are passive and agree.

This is facilitated by the conscious position of the collective event, which is panicked by the uncontrolled disintegration of the shortover, so it gives us weapons and ammunition so much that the defeat of the aggressor does not happen. I would like to defeat-the sky of Ukraine would already be full of F-16, "Apaches" and "Tomahawkiv". At the same time, the Allies assure that they will not stop supporting Ukraine as much as they need.

Ukraine has never become on military rails, and it does not look like our authorities have such plans. At least before the presidential and parliamentary elections. Then what do we need to count on? Unfortunately, it is only on rather irrational things. First of all, almost everyone who is able to hold the weapon will pass through the war. And there will be huge losses - people, industries, infrastructure, housing. It is necessary to prepare - consciously, without panic and despair.

Remembering: the war and mutual hatred went so far that in the surrender of Ukraine the enemy will not regret us and destroy us to the maximum (in the genocide he was already accused, so what to restrain himself?). And Ukraine needs to find its own resources to ensure a visual defeat of the enemy at least on a separate section of the front - the return of Donetsk or Mariupol, a measure in the Crimea, something that will hit the sledgehammer on the imperial arrogance of Russia.

Only an indisputable and offensive defeat can initiate there those decay processes, without which we will not be in true safety. This was in the history of the Russian Federation, and they are known to be "repeated. " In Soviet times, I was such a discipide: I criticized his boss, read forbidden literature, and I wrote that they refused to print regularly. But even my like -minded people did not expect that the Soviet Union - a real superpower - would fall and fall apart in a matter of years.