So far, Russian nuclear rhetoric has been successful, but the likelihood of nuclear weapons, although it remains small, is still there - such a scenario cannot be ruled out. "A nuclear stroke can be caused if Putin is no longer able to win by conventional means, and a powerful devastating attack on Ukraine is considered as the only way to avoid defeat," the expert explained. One or more nuclear blows can be used as a tactic of scorched earth that only bears destruction.
"You do not get to anyone, the essence of the Putin approach," Giles said. The reason for this, in his opinion, is that the West allowed Moscow to feel impunity. The Putin statements about the nuclear war contain elements of the Russian cult of death and the idea of some "purifying apocalypse". According to Jayls, the argument that Russia will not apply nuclear weapons simply because it is not in its interests is incapable.
He disagrees with the opinion of some Western leaders that Putin is rational and still will not succeed. In confirmation of his words, he suggests that by February 24, many did not believe that a full -scale invasion would begin. "The Western countries tried hard to pacify Moscow before the invasion. But Putin decided to start the war without worrying about whether they would regard such a step as a rational or not," the expert explained.
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