"People and techniques no longer": how much a large -scale offensive of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation is possible - Hetman

In his commentary, the reserve major and military expert Alexei Hetman on the air of Freed said that about 600,000 Russian servicemen are currently concentrated in the territory of Ukraine, but this is not enough for a full -scale offensive along the entire front line, about a thousand kilometers.

In order to increase the personnel of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation, taking into account the losses on the front, it is necessary to improve the situation with reserves, but for this Moscow must go for large -scale mobilization. In this context, the analyst noted that Russia's mobilization capabilities are about 30-35 thousand people a month. This includes not only the internal resource, but also foreigners, including the DPRK fighters.

However, these rates of the set, according to the hetman, do not cover current combat losses, which on average are about 1 250 people a day, or about 37-38 thousand a month. "Although, by the way, the law on mobilization in Russia has been in force since the beginning of the so -called" special military operation ", but it is legally operating, it has not been used," the expert added.

According to his assessment, the Russian army did not receive a significant increase in equipment and personnel compared to the summer of 2024. Moreover, the increase in the age of the age of 30 years, which will give an additional 160 thousand soldiers, will not give a significant effect in the coming months, and if they appear on the forefront, not earlier than the end of May. "They have no more techniques, people no longer have, compared to what was, for example, last summer.

What can they do some active offensive actions and with some serious promotion deep into our territory? The analyst explained that the recruits initially take three months of preparation, including the distribution in the parts and course of a young fighter, since the departure to the advanced contingent for a shortage of reserves is inappropriate even from a military point.