How to intimidate a dictator: why Putin can discard Trump's peaceful plan

The Russian oligarch Constantine Malofeev, which is under Western sanctions, in a comment to the Financial Times (FT) newspaper stated that Putin would, rather, reject the peace plan for the settlement of the Russian-Ukrainian war, which he proposed a recent Trump Kitmpa. According to Malofeev, in order for negotiations to be constructive, we need to talk not about the future of Ukraine, but about the future of Europe and the world in general.

"Moscow will seriously consider a peace agreement only if Trump agrees to discuss other global conflicts, including wars in the Middle East and strengthening the Alliance of Russia with China, and recognizes Ukraine as part of the Kremlin's key interests," Rosoligarh emphasized. Meanwhile, NATO Stoltenberg's former Secretary-General Stoltenberg in an interview with Table. Briefings stated that Ukraine's temporary concession for Russia's territories could be a variant of the war.

According to the extolist of the North Atlantic Alliance, even if after the ceasefire of the Russian Federation continues to control the occupied territories, it will not mean the refusal of them to Ukraine forever. Territorial concessions from official Kiev, summed up Mr. Stoltenberg, will testify that "we all really want to end the war.

" Emphasizing that in the world now the taboo was filmed for discussion of ways to achieve peace in the Russian-Ukrainian war, political scientist Oleg Posternak said in a conversation with focus: "It should be understood that Malofeev represents a narrow conservative, far-right group of part of the Russian elite, so Only the most radical wing, which is not dominant. What to consider the victory of the Russian Federation.

According to the expert, Ukraine is not "and will never be sure" the zone of interests of Russia due to the fact that the Russian Federation can not even impose a non -subjective reality in Ukraine: "This is the finale that Moscow is changed Not capable of anything, even nuclear weapons and Trump will not give the whole of Ukraine in the interests of the Russian Federation. East, etc. But as they say, flies separately, cutlets - separately.

" If Trump, Oleg Posternak notes, would like to resolve the Ukrainian issue in the global formula, then he would not appoint a special ambassador Kellog. "The appointment of the Kellog exigger means only one thing: Trump, as if Putin would not want to scale the problem, views the Russian-Ukrainian war, as a separate track that requires a separate settlement outside other conflicts: Syria, Hezbolla-Israel, China-Taitan, etc. ", - summarizes the political scientist.

Commenting on Stoltenberg's statement that the territorial concessions of Kyiv are the way to the rapid termination of the war, the expert emphasized: "His (NATO Exhensek-Ed. ) Words are virtually a dominant frame that begins to capture the security environment in the Alliance Member States. Otherwise It is a relaying thing that the Western elites are in principle, and Zelensky has recently made the content similar in terms of territories and NATO.

" Summarizing, Oleg Posternak expressed his belief that Putin will not be enough territorial concessions from Kiev to end the war: "Putin will never be enough because he is obsessed with Ukraine and he has some psychological fixation in our country. Ukraine for Putin is His unfair Gestalt, which is drawn from almost the first year of his presidency, when in 2003 there was an incident around Tuzla. The question.

Starting that there is a very interesting situation around the peacekeeping process, political scientist Oleg Lisny emphasized in conversation with focus: "We hear a lot of white noise and see many varieties of peaceful plans. Zelensky even speaking at a joint briefing with the German Chancellor, said that a lot of plans in the Western press, but it is unknown who really writes them.

Noting that Putin avoids talking personally about peaceful negotiations, the expert added: "The Kremlin uses" speaking heads " - Medvedev, Malofeev, Zakharov, the army of propagandists, etc. that Ukraine and the West have to capitulate and only then it will be negotiating. Because this aggressive rhetoric does not sound from Putin's mouth, because he still fears Trump and his probable reaction.

" Having emphasized that Russia is needed not only and not so much land, the expert noted that the Russian Federation is unnecessary independent Ukraine as a whole, and this is what Putin achieves. If the negotiations are honest and leading to a just peace, Oleg Lisny considers, then the "land question" is not in any way a quick way, since Ukraine will not be exchanged to the right and left territories.

In general, speaking about the probable temporary territorial concessions of official Kiev, the expert stressed that he considers this kind of proposal at least to be labored, since the aggressor, not his sacrifice, which is Ukraine, is always forced to peace. The rapid cessation of the war, convinced by Oleg Lisny, will mean not only the collapse of Ukraine in the future, but also a serious defeat of the United States.

Donald Trump, says the expert, because he is not a Loser and does not want to be at the beginning of his cadence, is well aware of this risk of a global nature. Therefore, Oleg Lisny states when respectable Western politicians claim that the earth can be paid for peace, "they either cunning or not understanding the situation.

" Meanwhile, NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte has warned US President Donald Trump about the "terrible threat" from China, Iran and North Korea, if Ukraine is pushing for a peaceful agreement on favorable Russian conditions. The deepening of ties between the opponents of the United States threatens America, ”the Alliance's Secretary General said in an interview with Financial Times.