Intelligence in Europe: What did Xi Jinping and how will Ukraine discuss with Putin

All meetings were different in status, level and content. "I have already said that a visit to Hungary and Serbia was, above all, economic. France is geopolitical," says Focus expert of the Foreign Policy Council "Ukrainian Prism" Alexander Kraev. He spent the first three days in France. So French President Emmanuel Macron rolled him in Pyrenee, treated him with a refined dinner and spoke about trade and diplomacy between the two countries.

The head of the EU Commission Ursula von der Layen also joined the negotiations. "In France, China traded with its geopolitics and economy. He tried to exchange the containment of the Russian Federation, to comply with peaceful formats, to control the failure to use nuclear weapons for economic cooperation with Europe, to discover its markets, to buy Chinese technologies and cars.

China continues to a great confrontation with the United States, so he wants to detach Europe from Washington, " - explains Kraev. On Wednesday, May 8, the Chinese leader visited Serbia, where he agreed to build a "common future". Unlike France, Serbia, and Hungary is economically dependent on Beijing.

Belgrade's official Belgrade was the first in Europe to accept Chinese investments - large -scale infrastructure projects, as the construction of highways and a metallurgical plant continue on Chinese credit. Because of this, Serbia has already fallen on debt. Currently, it is a debt to China's financial institutions of about 3. 7 billion euros. It is symbolic that it is from Belgrade to Budapest that railroad is also being modernized for Chinese funds.

It is part of the path to the Greek seaport Piraei, which was purchased by China. For Hungary Prime Minister Viktor Orban, a visit of China's leader was a big event. He personally came to meet a high guest at the plane. "China" unexpectedly "after a visit to Hungary, it became clear that" Hungary plans to become a hub for cheap Chinese electric vehicles in Europe.

"That is, the EU has not been given seven years, China decided to advance through its proxy, - adds expert expert expert Ukrainian prism politicians. It is very important for Xi Jinping to consolidate positions in Europe. This is also said "We see how successful the United States is building a alliance partnership in the Pacific region, and these wants to follow this example, increasing the presence in Europe.

By the logic of SI Serbia and Hungary is the intersection of all parts of Europe, where they should expand their presence and ideological affiliation. One that is why it increased the status of relations with Budapest and Belgrade, "he explains.

It is said that the Chairman of the PRC indicated that Serbia became the first state in Central and Eastern Europe to establish a "comprehensive strategic partnership" relations with China and the first European state to join the Chinese initiative to build a single fate between China and Europe. ". This fully demonstrates the strategic, special character and high level of Chinese-Serb relations. Previously, this status was received by East Asia, such as Laos or Cambodia. SI called Friendship.

Previously, such a conditional "status" was received by Venezuela or Syria. These statuses have little meaning but illustrate that these countries will develop with China. Along with the economic and geopolitical topics, the Ukrainian question was separately. On the eve of the visit to France, Xi prepared an article published by Le Figaro. In it he said that he came to France with "three messages": trade, diplomacy and search for ways to solve war in Ukraine.

According to the results of meetings, Macron publicly urged China to use its influence on Moscow to end the Russian Federation against Ukraine. He said France "respects ancient ties between China and Russia", but hopes that Beijing has found the strength "not to help Russia's military. " It is known that China does not supply Russia's ready -made military equipment, but components for it, and already in Russian plants are assembled samples using Chinese components.

"China provides expertise, but most importantly-components. 90% electronics for the Russian defense-industrial complex for 2023 was delivered from China. Similarly, double-purpose goods are used to create weapons. The Russian Federation has curtailed the Russian war. Against Ukraine, " - explains Arthur Kharitonov. The event has levers of influence. "Remember last year's visit by US Secretary of State Anthony Blinken to China.

There he said that the United States sees that China was supplying weapons of the Russian Federation, following the relevant campaigns. And what happened later? They are bankrupt. That is, in exchange for not funding for war against Ukraine, the world offers China stability. "Europe has nothing to promise. She just needs to be said that she is still open. Let's not forget that Europe and the USA - together it is 45% of all the turnover of China, while the Russian Federation is only 2%.

Beijing, which has changed their own rhetoric: diplomats ceased to be called "dear friends", "allies", and are limited by the word "partners". It is needed, but simply as a cheap resource hub, "the expert adds. Therefore, one should not expect that China and the Russian Federation will deteriorate. Only the deepening and expansion of the Union of Evil.

Even when the Russian war in Ukraine is over, Russian-Chinese relations will develop, because both countries, as experts say, are preparing jointly for the New War. "The US intelligence and not only indicates that the Russian Federation can participate in the invasion of Taiwan with China," Kharitonov recalls. "Macron voiced the European lines of those agreements that exist in G7. And similar theses have already been heard during meetings with both Americans and Europeans.

As we know, there were many rounds in recent months," Arthur Haritonov thinks. Formally, the rules offered by the President of Biden. . There were no new messages in Europe, convinced Krayev. "China plays the same. Now he emphasizes that the war is unacceptable that to divide the borders now is the past millennium. Before meeting with Putin is a subtle hint that China has not changed its position, he does not want the victory of the Russian Federation, but At the same time, it does not lose it.

Experts do not currently predict what Xi ideas have collected in Europe, despite the intention of "finding ways to solve war in Ukraine", as the French press wrote. This will also be discussed during a meeting with Russian President Vladimir Putin. He promises to come to Beijing next week, May 15-16. "The real results of the arrangements can be seen in early June, at the G7 summit and then the peace summit against Ukraine in Switzerland.

But the mood will be felt during Putin's visit to Beijing," Haritonov adds. And then the Chinese representative is waiting for Global Peace Summit, an international meeting at the level of the leaders of the countries prepared by Ukraine and Switzerland for holding June 15-16, 2024 at the Swiss resort of Burgenshtok near Lucerne.

"It seems to me Macron's main achievement that he was able to negotiate with SI that he would restrain the Russian Federation and send his representative to the peace of peace. Because without China's presence, it would be very difficult for us to attract the global south and work with Africans. It would be difficult to work with Latin America and Central Asia, Southeastern Asia, "says Alexander Kraev.

China will probably try to promote its peaceful initiative for Ukraine, a "peace plan", presented in February 2023 - 12 points, which include a call for negotiations between Ukraine and the Russian Federation, mostly on the Kremlin conditions and in the interests of the Kremlin. Will try to modify the Ukrainian formula of peace. "But the main thing is that China will work on our site, within the Ukrainian strategy.

It is not a final victory, but a very, very positive step in the right direction," the expert adds. Who will represent China is unknown. There are several options. The first is delegating a special representative for Eurasia Lee Huai. He was already in Kiev. But this is a bad sign because this diplomat is lower than Ukraine and international partners. He will mean that China is not going to negotiate. The second is that the Minister of Foreign Affairs of China Van J. will arrive.

And this will mean that China is ready for decisions. Personally, Si Jinping will not come to such an event. "Depending on what position of the PRC will voice at the Peace Summit, it will be clear how quickly the war in Ukraine will end.